January 15 Pre-Market: New York Stocks Fall for Second Day; Supreme Court Delays Trump Tariff Ruling; Will the US Intervene in Iran? Anxious Market

[1월15일 #장시작전] 뉴욕증시 이틀 연속 하락, 미 대법원 트럼프 관세 판결 연기 / 이란 군사개입하나, 불안한 시장
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 15, 2026 at 00:23  |  2:49:00  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist
Ha Chang-bong — CEO
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

Lee Kwon-hee, Ha Chang-bong, Lee Joo-yeon, Kim Hyung-chul, and Min Jae-gi discussed a Korean market led by large caps and selected themes. Key ideas included governance-reform beneficiaries, semiconductor and HBM supply-chain names, power equipment, Hyundai Motor group robotics value, biotech catalysts, commodities, defense/space, and battery restructuring. US topics included tech earnings, tariff uncertainty, FX stabilization, and small-cap rotation. Risks included KOSDAQ fragility, Amazon supplier margin pressure, and geopolitical tension.

  • Korean large caps and selected sectors led while KOSDAQ lagged.
  • Governance reform and treasury-share cancellation boosted holding companies and securities.
  • Semiconductor, HBM, power equipment, and auto/robot themes remained favored.
  • Bio technology-export catalysts and commodity inflation hedges were highlighted.
  • US tech earnings, tariff rulings, Iran/Greenland risks, and FX moves drove macro discussion.
  • Defense, aerospace, shipbuilding, energy, and coal showed momentum.
  • Battery restructuring and Amazon price-cut pressure were monitored risks.
  • KOSDAQ small caps and high-debt names were seen as vulnerable into audit season.
Ideas
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 1:23
Governance reform lifts Korean holding companies
The Third Commercial Act is moving to the Judiciary Committee and may pass in January; the strict bill without concessions is positive for governance reform, treasury-share cancellation, and holding companies.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 4:23
Korean large caps outperform KOSDAQ
Foreign investors took profits in KOSDAQ while domestic institutions bought large caps, suggesting the Korean large-cap market can continue to outperform KOSDAQ.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 4:23
Korean large caps outperform KOSDAQ
Foreign investors took profits in KOSDAQ while domestic institutions bought large caps, suggesting the Korean large-cap market can continue to outperform KOSDAQ.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 5:43
Hyundai Electric, Hyosung lead power equipment
Power-equipment orders are rising with AI data-center demand; Hyundai Electric and Hyosung Heavy are preferred over LS Electric because 765kV capability matters, while LS Electric needs confirmation beyond 500kV.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 5:43
Hyundai Electric, Hyosung lead power equipment
Power-equipment orders are rising with AI data-center demand; Hyundai Electric and Hyosung Heavy are preferred over LS Electric because 765kV capability matters, while LS Electric needs confirmation beyond 500kV.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 7:10
Hanmi benefits from Micron HBM expansion
Micron's HBM capacity expansion in Singapore, Hiroshima, Japan, and New York should drive Micron-related sales; Hanmi is the main supplier and can also benefit if it enters Samsung.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 9:27
DI benefits from HBM packaging expansion
Cheongju packaging fab expansion benefits HBM inspection equipment; SK supply is confirmed and Samsung is also supplied, making DI a HBM packaging equipment beneficiary.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 10:42
Alteogen or ABL next bio exporter
Biotech technology-export events remain; dips are buying opportunities, and the next technology-export winner is likely Alteogen or ABL Bio by March or April.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 10:50
D&D Pharmatech buy dips before export
D&D Pharmatech has a remaining technology-export event expected by March or April; buy on dips.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 11:45
Hold Samsung and SK hynix
Semiconductors rose despite foreign selling; buy Samsung Electronics and SK hynix on down candles and hold comfortably, with worries better left to late February.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 12:28
Doosan Enerbility nuclear order upside
Doosan Enerbility benefits from nuclear and power-equipment re-rating; order backlog speed is key, with a 105,000-110,000 won target and possible 120,000 won overshoot if US nuclear subsidies expand.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 17:13
STI power semiconductor equipment doubles
STI has sharply raised guidance in power-semiconductor substrate equipment; China demand is strong and the stock could double.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 18:06
Korean semiconductor equipment should rise
Korean semiconductor materials and equipment should rise when Samsung and SK hynix turn; US equipment stocks and Micron's huge New York fab support the theme.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 22:24
Switch from Kia to Hyundai Motor
Hyundai Motor is the main robot-value beneficiary; Kia merely follows to match valuation and lacks direct robot production, so switch from Kia to Hyundai Motor.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 22:24
Switch from Kia to Hyundai Motor
Hyundai Motor is the main robot-value beneficiary; Kia merely follows to match valuation and lacks direct robot production, so switch from Kia to Hyundai Motor.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 24:30
Mirae Asset benefits from treasury cancellation
Mirae Asset Securities has a high treasury-share ratio that should force cancellation under the Commercial Act, plus high dividends and low PBR; re-enter on pullbacks.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 27:08
Hanwha Systems second Palantir potential
Hanwha Systems was a top pick that already rose sharply; it is a good company with potential to become a second Palantir.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 28:12
OLIX has gene therapy catalyst
OLIX is a gene-therapy and R& treatment company with a remaining macular degeneration catalyst; it is more stable than recently listed Algenomics.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 29:20
KB Financial better than bank deposits
KB Financial is better than bank deposits, pays dividends, and may benefit from separate taxation of dividend income.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 30:04
Doosan Corp worth watching after rebound
Doosan Corp is supported by its electronic business and showed a meaningful rebound, making it worth watching.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 32:25
Itek cash-rich, watch inspection optionality
Itek has cash exceeding market cap after selling non-core units, and its Hyundai autonomous-driving semiconductor inspection equipment and Union Biometrics give future optionality, but it is still only a study candidate.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 33:33
Autos weight 20-25 percent
Autos should be 20-25% of a portfolio; Hyundai Motor, Hyundai Glovis, and Hyundai Autoever are core holdings, funded by reducing semiconductors if needed.
US small caps outperform large tech
US small caps are outperforming the S&P 500 for several sessions as money rotates out of M7 into smaller and cyclically sensitive names.
Walmart, Costco benefit from tariff relief
If Trump reciprocal tariffs are ruled illegal, import costs fall and US consumer/retail names like Walmart and Costco benefit; the market is already betting on this rotation.
Tesla watch Optimus Gen3 trigger
Tesla's FSD subscription lowers entry cost and expands FSD adoption; the next stock trigger is Optimus Gen3 in late January or early February, so focus on robot momentum.
Quantum names may technical rebound
IonQ and Rigetti are consolidating and could attempt technical rebounds as quantum-computing names stabilize.
Meta positive, Microsoft negative earnings
Microsoft is likely to deliver a negative earnings surprise, while Meta is likely to deliver a positive view helped by Hyperion and Prometheus data-center news.
Meta positive, Microsoft negative earnings
Microsoft is likely to deliver a negative earnings surprise, while Meta is likely to deliver a positive view helped by Hyperion and Prometheus data-center news.
Avoid KOSDAQ and fragile small caps
KOSDAQ is likely capped; February-March audit season and lending controls make high-debt or capital-impaired small caps risky.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 62:00
Won stabilization supports Korean equities
Bessent said won weakness is inconsistent with Korean fundamentals; USD/KRW fell, easing foreign selling pressure and supporting Korean equities.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 74:59
Defense, aerospace, shipbuilding momentum continues
Iran and Greenland geopolitical risks persist; defense, aerospace, and shipbuilding momentum should continue despite short rests, with K-defense sales expectations.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 76:13
Battery restructuring improves risk/reward
The government signaled battery-industry restructuring; if consolidation occurs, the EV chasm may end and ESS growth gets focus, improving the risk/reward for LG Energy Solution and Samsung SDI.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 81:40
Amazon price cuts pressure Korean suppliers
Amazon is demanding up to 30% price cuts from direct vendors, pressuring margins for large Korean suppliers; small third-party K-beauty sellers are less affected.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 89:15
Silver outperforms gold in metals rally
Precious metals are breaking out; silver is stronger than gold and leveraged silver products are surging.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 89:53
Alcoa rides aluminum commodity strength
Alcoa rose from $35 to $64 as aluminum and commodities attract liquidity; Korean aluminum names may follow.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 90:44
Bitcoin holds 90k support
Bitcoin held $90,000 support and rebounded, keeping the risk-on crypto setup alive.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 91:13
SanDisk trend strong near highs
SanDisk is near highs with a solid trend and only a slight pullback.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 91:56
RFHIC leads satellite RF strength
Space monetizes first through satellite communications; Korean RF component names are stronger than telecom operators, and RFHIC is leading.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 92:21
MP Materials rare earth momentum
Rare-earth and commodity stocks are strong; MP Materials is rising from lows.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 92:41
Hyundai Steel cheap with catalysts
Hyundai Steel is a cheap steel name with commodity/steel rally exposure, Hyundai Motor and robot steel demand, a stake in Hyundai Mobis, and inheritance/governance catalysts.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 95:10
Hanwha defense/space succession momentum
Hanwha Aerospace and Hanwha Systems hit new highs on defense/space and succession/governance moves; Hanwha Corp also strengthened.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 96:28
LS Electric, Hyosung power leadership
LS Electric broke to new highs and Hyosung Heavy is the sector leader; power-equipment issues continue.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 97:51
Korea Aerospace follows aerospace new highs
Korean aerospace large caps such as Hanwha Aerospace, Korea Aerospace, and Hanwha Systems all reached new highs, showing persistent aerospace momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 98:40
POSCO DX breakout on automation theme
POSCO DX is the software arm of POSCO; a technical breakout could work if POSCO expands automation and robotics.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 99:45
Robotics momentum in Neuromeka, Yujin
The robot theme is strong; Neuromeka and Yujin Robot are leading collaborative and small-robot momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 101:31
XBI biotech uptrend continues
The biotech ETF XBI is in a strong uptrend as big pharma M&A supports the sector.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 108:10
CMTX sole Korean TSMC vendor
CMTX is the only Korean first-tier vendor to TSMC and should benefit from TSMC expansion.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 109:49
Doosan gas turbine breakout watch
Doosan Enerbility has a constructive chart; he prefers gas-turbine exposure over nuclear due nuclear delays, and a breakout could send shares higher.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 111:25
Poongsan benefits copper and ammunition
Poongsan benefits from strong copper and ammunition prices, and after earnings misses the chart is set up for a move.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 112:39
Hyundai Construction raw-material theme
Raw-material and gold-rush themes plus a raised target support construction names; Hyundai Construction is making new highs.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 120:03
EUV/annealing equipment focus
Focus on microprocess EUV and annealing equipment; EO Technics and Park Systems are preferred Korean equipment plays.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 120:27
AMKR buy pullback advanced packaging
Amkor is near highs and advanced-packaging demand remains strong; buy on pullbacks.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 129:33
Attack drones beat UAM
Geopolitical risk boosts attack drones; AeroVironment and Kratos are at highs, while Joby is UAM and not the same trade.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 129:33
Attack drones beat UAM
Geopolitical risk boosts attack drones; AeroVironment and Kratos are at highs, while Joby is UAM and not the same trade.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 131:54
Energy drillers benefit oil above 60
WTI above $60, geopolitical risk, underinvestment in drilling, and aging infrastructure support energy and oil-service/drilling names.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 134:16
G2G Bio could lead bio
If Korean bio rallies, G2G Bio could lead with institutional supply.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 135:26
Ildong obesity pipeline drives news
Ildong Pharmaceutical has an oral obesity treatment pipeline that gives recurring news-driven upside.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 137:29
Own commodities as inflation hedge
Liquidity expansion and fiscal deficits are driving commodity inflation; own metals and miners such as Alcoa, Century Aluminum, Southern Copper, Freeport, and Newmont.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 139:40
Holding and treasury stocks favored
Commercial Act and treasury-share cancellation momentum support holding companies and high-treasury-share stocks.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 142:54
Game stocks see re-rating momentum
NCSoft is re-rating on better user relations, Shift Up is deeply oversold, and Wemade has a China Mir launch; game-sector momentum improves.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 145:22
Peabody coal new high
Coal and energy are strong; Peabody Energy hit a new high and he likes coal.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 145:43
Kia should get robot value
Kia should also receive robot value; target prices were raised and Hyundai group sentiment remains positive.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 146:44
Hyundai Construction wait for pullback
Hyundai Construction's target was raised 74% to 150,000 won as the nuclear-construction narrative shifts from excuses to numbers, but after the run it is better to wait for a pullback.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 151:34
Hyundai Motor robot value to 100T
Robot value can lift Hyundai Motor's market cap toward KRW 100 trillion, implying about 20% upside.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:01
Samsung Electronics memory profit surge
Samsung Electronics' memory operating profit could reach KRW 133 trillion, four times YoY; memory and physical AI are strategic assets with constrained supply.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 152:34
Seobu T&D asset value case
Seobu T&D has an asset-value case from about 1,700 hotel rooms in Yongsan and new construction; Hanwha Securities initiated with a 17,500 won target.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 153:33
Samsung Heavy FLNG order re-rating
FLNG is Samsung Heavy Industries' unique edge; two reports raised targets, and FLNG orders can re-rate valuation.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 158:30
High-treasury securities favored by law
High-treasury-share securities such as Shinyoung, Bookook, Mirae Asset, and Daishin are favored under Commercial Act reform.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 160:19
Korea Zinc raw-material momentum
Korea Zinc stood out on raw-material strength and US production news.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 160:40
Hyosung Heavy power story continues
The power-equipment story continues; Hyosung Heavy's 3 million won target and new highs support the trend.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 161:41
Shipbuilding strong on oil orders
Korean shipbuilding is strong on oil prices and order momentum.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 162:44
Korean bio names rebounding
Some Korean bio names are rebounding, led by Green Cross, G2G Bio, Binex, Samsung Biologics, OLIX, and LigaChem.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 15, 2026, features Lee Kwon-hee, Ha Chang-bong, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi discussing Korean holding companies, 034730.KS, 001040.KS, 006260.KS, 000880.KS, EWY, KOSDAQ, 267260.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 042700.KS, 003160.KS, 196170.KQ, 298380.KQ, 347850.KQ, SSNLF, 000660.KS, 034020.KS, 039440.KQ, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, 005380.KS, 000270.KS, 006800.KS, 272210.KS, 226950.KQ, 105560.KS, 000150.KS, 119830.KQ, 086280.KS, 307950.KS, IWM, WMT, COST, TSLA, IONQ, RGTI, META, MSFT, Korean Small Caps, Korean defense stocks, Korean Shipbuilding Stocks, 373220.KS, 006400.KS, 090430.KS, 051900.KS, 097950.KS, 004370.KS, 003230.KS, SILVER, GLD, AA, BTC, SNDK, 218410.KQ, MP, 004020.KS, 012450.KS, 047810.KS, 022100.KS, 348340.KQ, 056080.KQ, XBI, CMTX, 103140.KS, 000720.KS, 039030.KQ, 140860.KQ, AMKR, AVAV, KTOS, JOBY, XOM, CVX, OIH, 456160.KQ, 249420.KS, CENX, SCCO, FCX, NEM, 004990.KS, 036570.KS, 462870.KS, 112040.KQ, BTU, 006730.KQ, Samsung Heavy Industries 010140.KS, 001720.KS, 003540.KS, 001270.KS, 010130.KS, Korean bio stocks. 72 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Kwon-hee, Ha Chang-bong, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: Korean holding companies, 034730.KS, 001040.KS, 006260.KS, 000880.KS, EWY, KOSDAQ, 267260.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 042700.KS, 003160.KS, 196170.KQ, 298380.KQ, 347850.KQ, SSNLF, 000660.KS, 034020.KS, 039440.KQ, Korean semiconductor equipment/materials, 005380.KS, 000270.KS, 006800.KS, 272210.KS, 226950.KQ, 105560.KS, 000150.KS, 119830.KQ, 086280.KS, 307950.KS, IWM, WMT, COST, TSLA, IONQ, RGTI, META, MSFT, Korean Small Caps, Korean defense stocks, Korean Shipbuilding Stocks, 373220.KS, 006400.KS, 090430.KS, 051900.KS, 097950.KS, 004370.KS, 003230.KS, SILVER, GLD, AA, BTC, SNDK, 218410.KQ, MP, 004020.KS, 012450.KS, 047810.KS, 022100.KS, 348340.KQ, 056080.KQ, XBI, CMTX, 103140.KS, 000720.KS, 039030.KQ, 140860.KQ, AMKR, AVAV, KTOS, JOBY, XOM, CVX, OIH, 456160.KQ, 249420.KS, CENX, SCCO, FCX, NEM, 004990.KS, 036570.KS, 462870.KS, 112040.KQ, BTU, 006730.KQ, Samsung Heavy Industries 010140.KS, 001720.KS, 003540.KS, 001270.KS, 010130.KS, Korean bio stocks