Trump Says Strait of Hormuz Could Be Open Very Soon

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  March 23, 2026 at 15:22  |  1:13  |  Bloomberg Markets

Summary

  • Donald Trump posits that the Strait of Hormuz could be opened "very soon" if a deal is reached.
  • He suggests oil flow through the strait would be "jointly controlled," possibly by the U.S. and Iran.
  • Trump asserts that a form of "regime change" is already underway in Iran, referencing that many from the existing regime have been killed.
  • He indicates engagement with what he describes as "reasonable" and "solid" people within Iran, suggesting a potential new leadership.
  • He draws a parallel to Venezuela, claiming the U.S. relationship and oil situation there is "working out" well.
  • The core market implication is a prediction that the "price of oil will drop like a rock as soon as a deal is done."
  • The entire thesis is contingent on a speculative diplomatic deal with Iran, which presents a high degree of uncertainty.
  • No specific oil companies, ETFs, or other financial instruments are mentioned.
Trade Ideas
Donald Trump President of the United States 1:04
The speaker explicitly stated, "the price of oil will drop like a rock as soon as a deal is done." The proposed deal involves opening the Strait of Hormuz (a critical oil chokepoint) and establishing joint control over oil flow, which would reduce geopolitical risk and potentially increase supply access. This is a direct, bearish call on the crude oil price, contingent on the successful completion of the described diplomatic agreement. The deal may not materialize. Other supply constraints or global demand factors could offset the impact of the strait opening.
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Speakers: Donald Trump  · Tickers: WTI