Crash Alert Or Wild Upside Next? Fund Manager Reveals What's Next For Gold, Miners | Adrian Day

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  November 03, 2025 at 19:06  |  40:58  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Adrian Day — President, Adrian Day Asset Management
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

Adrian Day argues gold's sharp pullback from $4,400 to $4,000 is a mid-cycle correction, not a 2011-style mania top, because public participation and miner-ETF inflows are absent. He remains bullish on gold and especially gold miners, sees the macro backdrop turning more supportive, and would rotate some bullion/ETF profits into undervalued miners. He also flags copper, oil, and natural gas as relatively undervalued versus gold and warns the Fed's balance-sheet moves may set up a gold-bullish QE response.

  • Adrian Day says gold's correction is a buying opportunity, not a top.
  • He sees no mania because North American retail and GDX/GDXJ flows are absent.
  • He remains positive on gold miners due cheap valuations, expanding margins, and underownership.
  • He suggests trimming bullion/ETFs and rotating into miners for investment gold exposure.
  • He views copper, oil, and natural gas as undervalued relative to gold.
  • He names Agnico and Fortuna for management and operational discipline.
  • He says Fed QT ending and possible QE would be bullish for gold.
  • He notes Fed division and macro uncertainty but no clean rate trade.
Ideas
Adrian Day President, Adrian Day Asset Management 2:32
Gold pullback is a buying opportunity
Adrian sees the drop from $4,400 to $4,000 as a buying opportunity rather than a 2011-style top because retail/North American public participation is absent, GDX/GDXJ have seen net outflows, central banks and price-insensitive non-official Chinese/Middle Eastern buyers continue buying for insurance/defensive reasons, and the U.S. macro backdrop is turning more conducive to gold: weak labor, sticky inflation, a weak dollar, and slowly falling rates.
Adrian Day President, Adrian Day Asset Management 5:27
Gold miners remain cheap versus gold
Gold miners are still fundamentally cheap on P/E, P/CF and P/NAV even after doubling in 2025; they have not yet shown their traditional leverage to gold, margins are expanding with industry AISC around $2,100-2,200, GDX is net cash positive, miners have paid down debt and are doing rational M&A, and public/North American investors have not participated, leaving room for a re-rating as gold rises.
Adrian Day President, Adrian Day Asset Management 30:09
Agnico, Fortuna have superior management records
In gold mining, management and history matter; Agnico and Fortuna have proven strong financial discipline, strong balance sheets, avoid overpaying/overleveraging and going crazy on acquisitions, and are good at operating mines and getting the most out of them.
Adrian Day President, Adrian Day Asset Management 32:43
Copper, oil, gas undervalued versus gold
Other commodities—copper, natural gas and oil—screen even more undervalued relative to gold than gold miners; copper is near highs but selected copper stocks are still fundamentally undervalued versus gold, and oil and gas are especially inexpensive after being painful to own.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published November 03, 2025, features Adrian Day discussing GLD, GDX, FSM, AEM, COPPER, Copper stocks, UNG, WTI. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Adrian Day  · Tickers: GLD, GDX, FSM, AEM, COPPER, Copper stocks, UNG, WTI