Interest Rates Explode: 'Major Meltdown' Next, Warns Trader | Todd Horwitz

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 04, 2026 at 03:23  |  28:55  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Todd Horwitz — Founder, bubbatrading.com

Summary

Trader Todd Horwitz discusses extreme market volatility, warning of a potential meltdown amid rising rates. He sees a sharp yen pullback, lower oil prices, and surging bond yields, while gold and silver are forming bases for a breakout. Tech remains overvalued, but Apple's dip may offer an opportunity.

  • Markets are extremely volatile but today's light volume raises caution about the rally's sustainability.
  • The Japanese yen has rallied too fast on intervention and is primed for a sharp short-term pullback.
  • Crude oil carries a fear premium; Horwitz targets a decline to the mid-$50s and wants to sell rallies.
  • US long-end yields are headed much higher; he expects the 10-year near 6% and is shorting bond futures.
  • Gold is building a solid base around $4,000 and may break higher on a short squeeze toward $4,800+.
  • Silver found a base at $55-$60, presenting a buying opportunity.
  • The technology sector is not yet safe to buy broadly, but Apple's 12% drop might be worth watching.
Ideas
Todd Horwitz Founder, bubbatrading.com 14:07
Yen pullback imminent after parabolic rally.
The Japanese yen has gone up too fast parabolically after the recent intervention. Markets cannot sustain such vertical moves, and a substantial pullback is imminent in the short term, even if the longer-term trend remains up.
Todd Horwitz Founder, bubbatrading.com 16:17
Buy silver at $55-$60 base.
Silver has found a solid base around $55-$60 after its earlier correction. This level is seen as a great entry point to become a buyer again, mirroring gold's base-building behavior.
Todd Horwitz Founder, bubbatrading.com 17:04
Sell crude oil rallies, target mid-$50s.
Crude oil is inflated by fear premiums, demand has fallen, and the futures curve shows $20 backwardation. He expects oil to trade back into the mid-50s by year-end and wants to sell rallies around $80-$85.
Todd Horwitz Founder, bubbatrading.com 21:33
Short Treasuries, yields heading to 6%.
Strong demand for capital, bad debt, and widening bank spreads will push long-end interest rates much higher. He expects the 10-year yield to reach 6%, with bond futures declining to par. Looking to short 10-year and 30-year futures on any rally.
Todd Horwitz Founder, bubbatrading.com 25:17
Gold base and squeeze point to new highs.
Gold has already priced in higher interest rates and is building a solid base around $4,000. Despite reasons for it to fall, it holds, setting up a short squeeze and a breakout toward new highs, potentially above $4,800 by year-end.
Todd Horwitz Founder, bubbatrading.com 27:30
Avoid US tech, still overvalued and falling.
The technology sector as a group remains overvalued, has not yet found a bottom, and has plenty of room to fall. It is not time to buy tech broadly.
Todd Horwitz Founder, bubbatrading.com 27:34
Apple's dip may be an opportunity.
Apple has taken a hit, down about 12% from its recent high. As an individual name, it might be one to start looking at for a potential opportunity even though the broader tech group is unattractive.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published August 04, 2026, features Todd Horwitz discussing USD/JPY, SILVER, WTI, 10-Year US Treasury Note Futures, 30-Year US Treasury Bond Futures, GLD, XLK, AAPL. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Todd Horwitz  · Tickers: USD/JPY, SILVER, WTI, 10-Year US Treasury Note Futures, 30-Year US Treasury Bond Futures, GLD, XLK, AAPL