Roger Ferguson on December jobs report: I'd take a pause in January

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 09, 2026 at 14:17  |  4:25  |  CNBC
Speakers
Roger Ferguson — Former Vice Chair, Federal Reserve

Summary

Roger Ferguson, former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman, joins Squawk Box to discuss the December jobs report and Fed policy. He calls the report mixed and soft, with weak top-line job growth but an improving unemployment rate. He would pause in January and wait for more clarity, expecting no Fed move at the next meeting. He also says tariffs are unlikely to be a major factor for monetary policy and comments on AI's uneven impact on the labor market.

  • December jobs report was mixed: 50,000 top-line growth versus 70,000 expected.
  • Unemployment rate moved in a more positive direction.
  • Ferguson would pause in January and wait for clarity.
  • He sees no Fed movement at the January meeting.
  • Market expects 50 basis points of cuts over the year.
  • Tariff issues are seen as less relevant to Fed policy.
  • AI adoption is broad and uneven, with some labor-market impact already visible.
Ideas
Roger Ferguson Former Vice Chair, Federal Reserve 0:56
Fed should pause in January.
The December jobs report was mixed and soft, with top-line growth of 50,000 versus 70,000 expected, though the unemployment rate moved in a positive direction. Given the close call in the last FOMC minutes and the reluctance around the prior cut, he would pause in January and wait for more clarity; he sees no movement at the January meeting and notes the market is expecting 50 basis points of cuts over the year.
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This CNBC video, published January 09, 2026, features Roger Ferguson discussing Fed Funds Rate. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

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