US long-term interest rates rise again... Is even Treasury bond buying useless?

US long-term interest rates rise again... Is even Treasury bond buying useless? [Wall Street Newsletter]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 20, 2026 at 22:02  |  44:10  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-seok — Curator

Summary

The video discusses the recent rebound in US long-term Treasury yields despite government intervention, highlighting market concerns over inflation and deficits. It also covers the potential liquidity drain from the upcoming Anthropic IPO and historical midterm election volatility. Furthermore, it analyzes key tech earnings, including Nvidia's margin expectations and SK hynix's path to closing its valuation gap.

  • US Treasury yields rebounded quickly after the Treasury Secretary's buyback announcement, showing market skepticism.
  • Trump's threat of severe economic sanctions on Iran is pushing oil prices to recent highs.
  • The upcoming Anthropic IPO and historical midterm election trends suggest increased market volatility through October.
  • Nvidia's upcoming earnings will be judged heavily on its ability to maintain a 75% gross margin.
  • Marvell and Broadcom are both positioned well in the custom AI chip market with Google.
  • SK hynix needs to prove sustained operating margins to overcome US investor skepticism regarding the memory cycle.
  • Bitcoin is rallying on hopes of peaking interest rates and Trump's pro-crypto political messaging.
  • Deere is finding unexpected growth by supplying heavy machinery for AI data center construction.
Ideas
Market rejects Treasury intervention, yields remain high.
Despite the Treasury Secretary's buyback intervention plan, long-term yields quickly rebounded, indicating the market remains highly concerned about persistent inflation and government deficits, making long-term bonds risky.
Trump's strict Iran sanctions boost oil prices.
Trump's threat of unprecedented economic sanctions and total isolation against Iran is pushing crude oil prices to the top of their recent trading range.
Midterm volatility and Anthropic IPO drain liquidity.
The upcoming Anthropic IPO could act as a vacuum cleaner for market liquidity, and historical patterns show increased volatility 75 to 25 days before midterm elections, suggesting a difficult broad market environment through October.
Nvidia must maintain seventy-five percent gross margins.
For Nvidia's upcoming earnings, the critical factors for the market are maintaining a 75% gross margin and successfully expanding Blackwell sales without cannibalizing Hopper or relying on China.
Marvell expands custom chip business with Google.
Marvell's price target was raised to $310 by UBS as its custom chip relationship with Google is expanding beyond just TPUs into a broader ecosystem of connected chips.
Market incorrectly assumes Marvell took Broadcom's business.
The market is undervaluing Broadcom by mistakenly assuming that Marvell has taken all of Google's TPU business, which JP Morgan clarifies is not the case.
Sustained margins will close SK hynix's gap.
Although US investors remain skeptical of the memory cycle, SK hynix can close its valuation gap and re-rate like TSMC if it proves its operating margins are sustainable over the next few quarters alongside its strong shareholder returns.
Management cleared of illegal China export allegations.
Super Micro Computer's stock rebounded because investigations revealed that current management was completely unaware of a former employee's illegal exports to China, removing a major company-level risk.
Peaking rates and Trump's support boost Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is rallying due to a combination of potentially peaking interest rates and Trump's renewed pro-crypto political messaging aimed at winning voters ahead of the midterm elections.
Slowing US same-store sales drag down Walmart.
Walmart shares suffered their biggest drop in four years due to a significant slowdown in US same-store sales growth, despite an increase in AI-driven customer engagement.
Deere supplies heavy machinery for data centers.
Deere & Company is finding a strong new growth driver beyond agricultural machinery by supplying heavy equipment for the construction of AI data centers.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published August 20, 2026, features Park Myung-seok discussing TLT, WTI, SPY, NVDA, MRVL, AVGO, 000660.KS, SMCI, BTC, WMT, DE. 11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-seok  · Tickers: TLT, WTI, SPY, NVDA, MRVL, AVGO, 000660.KS, SMCI, BTC, WMT, DE