ИИ-пузырю не хватает денег? | Инвест ГРОГ с Солодиным

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 05, 2026 at 19:58  |  1:55:56  |  Dmitry Solodin
Speakers
Dmitry Solodin — Trader / Investor

Summary

Dmitry Solodin warns that AI infrastructure capex spending by major tech companies is growing unsustainably, creating a 'bomb' of future depreciation that could hit earnings and free cash flow. He advises avoiding hyper scalers like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, and instead recommends value-oriented beneficiaries such as Eaton, NextEra Energy, Duolingo, Marvel Technology, and select Asian stocks. He is bearish on speculative unprofitable AI names like SoundHound AI and views the upcoming large IPO (SpaceX) as a potential market top signal.

  • Hyper scalers' capex growth outpaces AI revenue, posing depreciation and FCF risks.
  • Amazon's free cash flow has turned negative due to AI spending.
  • Eaton and NextEra Energy are beneficiaries of data center electricity demand.
  • Duolingo is undervalued with strong growth and cheap valuation.
  • Marvel Technology is key for AI networking and shows explosive growth.
  • Hong Kong Hang Seng index and Tencent show bullish technical patterns.
  • SoundHound AI is a loss-making stock with dilution, expected to decline further.
  • Alibaba is a watch for a breakout above $200 to confirm renewed strength.
Trade Ideas
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 20:14
Avoid Oracle due to debt risk.
Oracle is overleveraged in AI infrastructure projects, relying heavily on debt, making it risky if AI investments do not pay off. The stock is highly volatile and should be avoided.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 42:10
Avoid hyper scalers due to capex bomb.
Major hyper scalers (Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta) are facing a capex bomb: capital expenditures are growing much faster than AI revenue, leading to massive future depreciation that will hit earnings, and free cash flow is already declining (e.g., Amazon's FCF near zero). The risk of non-recovery is high, and these stocks have already run up. Therefore, it is better to avoid them despite their current fundamental strength.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 43:47
Long NextEra for AI electricity demand.
NextEra Energy is a long-term investment in electrical utilities that will benefit from rising electricity demand from AI data centers. The company has stable business, long-term growth, and he is currently invested.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 44:02
Long Eaton as AI infrastructure beneficiary.
Eaton Technologies is a beneficiary of the AI data center buildout, providing electrical equipment. It has strong fundamentals, accelerating free cash flow, a cheap valuation (P/E ~2.5x trailing? but growing), and a bullish cup-and-handle technical pattern. The capex cycle will drive revenue growth for years, making it a compelling long.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 45:40
Long Insia for growth and value.
Insia (likely a pharma/biotech company) has explosive growth in revenue and EPS, very cheap valuation (P/E ~14, earnings yield 8%), strong free cash flow growth, and all fundamentals point to significant upside. Technical setup shows a cup and handle pattern, making it a high-conviction long idea.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 85:28
Long Hang Seng Index (2800 ETF).
The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (via ETF 2800) is forming a bullish triangle pattern and looks set for a long-term move higher. He identifies Tencent as a specific stock within it, with a cup-and-handle pattern and solid fundamentals. The index itself is heavily weighted toward financials and tech, but the tradeable expression is the 2800 ETF.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 85:49
Long Tencent with cup-and-handle.
Tencent is a specific pick within the HK market, showing a cup-and-handle pattern and decent fundamentals. It could break out and run higher. He rates it 81 parrots, indicating a good opportunity.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 91:09
Long Duolingo for growth at cheap price.
Duolingo is undervalued with a P/E of 14, earnings yield 8%, strong revenue and profit growth, and a ROE of 34%. Current price around 100, target 230+ by 2027. He holds a position and plans to use options to leverage on breakout. It is a core long idea.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 96:08
Long Marvel for AI networking growth.
Marvel Technology is a critical networking chip supplier for AI data centers (optical interfaces, DSPs). It has explosive growth (revenue up 600% YoY), strong free cash flow, and is undervalued relative to growth (P/E ~90 but earnings yield high). Despite high valuation, the growth trajectory justifies further upside. Technicals show more room to run before a correction.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 106:24
Short SoundHound for losses and dilution.
SoundHound AI is a loss-making company with negative operating margins, increasing losses, and constant dilution via share issuance. The business model is unproven, and the stock is in a downtrend after the post-IPO support ended. He expects it to fall to $2 or lower, presenting a short opportunity.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 109:42
Watch Alibaba for breakout above $200.
Alibaba has the potential to be a major AI player in China (similar to Google/Amazon), but current weak free cash flow and slowdown in metrics make it risky near term. He recommends buying on a breakout above $200, which would confirm renewed strength. For now, it is a watch and waiting for a clearer signal.
Up Next

This Dmitry Solodin video, published June 05, 2026, features Dmitry Solodin discussing ORCL, GOOGL, META, AMZN, MSFT, NEE, ETN, Insia, 2800.HK, 00700.HK, DUOL, MRVL, SOUN, BABA. 11 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Dmitry Solodin  · Tickers: ORCL, GOOGL, META, AMZN, MSFT, NEE, ETN, Insia, 2800.HK, 00700.HK, DUOL, MRVL, SOUN, BABA