Why You're Getting Poorer: Major Slowdown Ahead | Donald Boudreaux

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 17, 2025 at 18:01  |  45:44  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Donald Boudreaux — Professor of Economics at George Mason University and Getchell Chair at the Mercatus Center
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

Donald Boudreaux, professor of economics, argues that Trump's tariffs will slow U.S. and global growth by disrupting supply webs, while rejecting claims that China stole U.S. manufacturing jobs. He warns that bipartisan deficit spending is unsustainable and could lead to higher future taxes, higher interest rates, inflation via debt monetization, or another financial crisis. He also discusses the myth of American industrial decline, lessons from 2008, career advice amid AI, and the Harvard-Trump dispute.

  • Boudreaux calls the World Bank's tariff-driven U.S. growth downgrade credible and expects slower growth.
  • He argues tariffs sever global supply webs and make Americans poorer without restoring manufacturing jobs.
  • He debunks the 'China stole jobs' and manufacturing hollowing-out narratives, citing high U.S. industrial output and manufacturing wages.
  • He warns that bipartisan deficit spending burdens future taxpayers and risks higher interest rates or debt monetization.
  • He sees deficit monetization as inflationary and cautions that another bailout-driven financial crisis is possible.
  • He says the 2008 crisis was caused partly by government housing policies and Fannie/Freddie subprime exposure.
  • He advises graduates to pursue practical fields or skilled trades and is uncertain how AI will reshape sectors.
  • He criticizes the Trump administration's targeted actions against Harvard as likely bad policy.
Ideas
Donald Boudreaux Professor of Economics at George Mason University and Getchell Chair at the Mercatus Center 13:20
Apple faces tariff-driven reshoring cost risk.
Boudreaux argues that if Trump forces Apple to manufacture iPhones in the U.S. or pay at least a 25% tariff, Apple's products will become more expensive, Americans will buy fewer iPhones, quality may fall, and resources pulled into U.S. iPhone assembly will reduce output elsewhere. The policy would make Apple's supply chain less efficient and lower U.S. living standards, creating a company-specific risk for Apple.
Donald Boudreaux Professor of Economics at George Mason University and Getchell Chair at the Mercatus Center 27:36
Unsustainable deficits risk spiking Treasury yields.
Boudreaux warns that massive bipartisan deficits and unsustainable debt accumulation will burden future taxpayers and could spook global investors. If investors doubt U.S. repayment or worry about delayed repayment, Treasury interest rates will spike, making government and private borrowing harder and compressing business activity; Fed monetization of the debt also raises inflation risk. That is a bearish setup for Treasury bond prices.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published June 17, 2025, features Donald Boudreaux discussing AAPL, TLT. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Donald Boudreaux  · Tickers: AAPL, TLT