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[July 3rd Before Market Open] US AI Semiconductor Plunge Leads to Nasdaq Decline / Weakening US Employment Slowdown Reduces Rate Hike Possibility / 3 Trillion Won in Forced Liquidations for Retail Investors... US, Japan Also Hit Record Margin Loans

[July 3rd #BeforeMarketOpen] US AI Semiconductor Plunge Leads to Nasdaq Decline / Weakening US Employment Slowdown Reduces Rate Hike Possibility / 3 Trillion Won in Forced Liquidations for Retail Investors... US, Japan Also Hit Record Margin Loans
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 03, 2026 at 00:50  |  3:03:36  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Hyeong-cheol — CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist
Oh Hyun-jin — Team Lead

Summary

The video discusses the recent sharp correction in semiconductor stocks, driven by rumors of Meta cutting AI capex and excessive leverage in the Korean market. Despite the volatility, experts argue that memory demand remains robust and the drop presents a buying opportunity for deep-value tech stocks. Meanwhile, money is rotating into oversold earnings sectors such as pharma/bio, defense, power equipment, and cosmetics.

  • Meta's rumored AI capex cut is largely dismissed as false, with memory demand expected to stay strong.
  • Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have entered deep value territory following a 20-25% correction.
  • Cooling US employment data is raising hopes for rate cuts, benefiting growth and biotech stocks.
  • Tesla's strong Q2 deliveries and ESS installations are boosting sentiment for secondary battery stocks.
  • Institutional funds are rotating into power equipment, defense, and shipbuilding amid semiconductor consolidation.
  • Apple's increased foldable phone production targets provide a catalyst for its domestic supply chain.
Ideas
Diversify into oversold earnings stocks across sectors.
The market is experiencing a shift from overvalued semiconductor stocks to oversold earnings stocks. Sectors like retail, games, airlines, entertainment, and cosmetics are showing solid earnings and are currently undervalued, making them good targets for diversification.
Focus on Samsung Electronics common over preferred.
SK hynix and Samsung Electronics are experiencing extreme volatility due to leveraged ETFs and margin calls. SK hynix has a key support level around a 30% correction from its peak, which is a critical point to watch for a potential bounce.
Nuclear power stocks benefit from upcoming momentum.
Nuclear power stocks are viewed positively due to the selection of large nuclear power plant sites, SMR site selection, and expectations of additional nuclear exports following the Czech contract.
Substrate companies will grow due to increasing complexity.
Substrate companies are structurally bound to grow as substrates get larger and more complex to handle higher performance, leading to continued supply shortages.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 27:42
Watch SK hynix's key support level closely.
SK hynix and Samsung Electronics are experiencing extreme volatility due to leveraged ETFs and margin calls. SK hynix has a key support level around a 30% correction from its peak, which is a critical point to watch for a potential bounce.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 53:46
Cooling employment data favors pharma/bio growth stocks.
US bio stocks like J&J, AbbVie, and Vertex are hitting new highs. The domestic pharma/bio sector is likely to follow this upward trend, making it a good area to focus on while semiconductors rest.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 53:46
Cooling employment data favors pharma/bio growth stocks.
The cooling US employment data reduces the likelihood of rate hikes, which creates a favorable environment for growth stocks, particularly in the pharma/bio sector and the KOSDAQ market.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 66:44
Strong Tesla deliveries boost secondary battery stocks.
Tesla's Q2 deliveries significantly beat expectations, and ESS installations surged 53% QoQ. This indicates strong demand, making secondary batteries and ESS-related stocks attractive for a rebound.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 73:38
Apple's increased foldable targets boost supply chain.
Apple is increasing its production target for foldable phones to 10 million units. This creates strong momentum for Apple's supply chain companies, especially those involved in displays and foldable components.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 86:05
Hyundai Motor offers good risk/reward buying opportunity.
Hyundai Motor has corrected to the lower bound of its recent range. It offers a good risk/reward ratio for buying at this level, with a tight stop-loss if it breaks below the current support.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 86:52
Money flows into power equipment and defense.
While semiconductors consolidate, institutional money is flowing into sectors with solid earnings and growing order backlogs, specifically power equipment, defense, and shipbuilding.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 86:52
Money flows into power equipment and defense.
Defense stocks are attractive as global defense spending increases. Korea is gaining market share from the US due to price and delivery competitiveness. Hanwha Aerospace and KAI are particularly preferred due to added aerospace momentum.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 86:52
Money flows into power equipment and defense.
HD Hyundai Electric won a massive 1.1 trillion won data center contract that includes distribution boards. It is currently undervalued compared to domestic peers and has significant upside potential.
Kim Hyeong-cheol CEO, Kim Hyung-chul Research Institute 95:45
Strong export data drives cosmetics and aesthetics.
Strong export data for cosmetics and aesthetics is driving stock prices up. Companies like HK Kolmar and PharmaResearch are showing solid momentum and institutional buying.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 120:37
SK Eternix benefits from rising power demand.
SK Eternix is expected to report strong Q2 earnings driven by fuel cell revenue, with full-scale growth starting in Q3. It is a key beneficiary of the rising power demand from domestic data centers.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 146:29
Celltrion is a strong buy with records.
Celltrion reported record Q2 earnings with significant YoY growth. It has a solid pipeline, is entering the CDMO business, and actively pursues shareholder return policies, making it a strong buy.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 150:11
Securities stocks are undervalued despite strong earnings.
Securities stocks are undervalued despite very strong Q2 earnings. The market's fear of a Q3 earnings drop is excessive, and they are likely to experience a price rally based on their Q2 performance.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 161:14
Defense stocks benefit from rising global spending.
Defense stocks are attractive as global defense spending increases. Korea is gaining market share from the US due to price and delivery competitiveness. Hanwha Aerospace and KAI are particularly preferred due to added aerospace momentum.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published July 03, 2026, features Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Lee Kwon-hee, Oh Hyun-jin discussing 007070.KS, 282330.KS, 263750.KQ, 036570.KS, 078340.KQ, 251270.KS, 003490.KS, 020560.KS, 035900.KQ, 041510.KQ, 161890.KS, 051900.KS, 090430.KS, 005930.KS, URA, 009150.KS, 000660.KS, XBI, KOSDAQ, Secondary batteries, ESS, 441270.KQ, 213420.KQ, 034220.KS, 005380.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 329180.KS, 012450.KS, 064350.KS, 267260.KS, 214450.KQ, 475150.KS, 068270.KS, 039490.KS, 016360.KS, 047810.KS. 18 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Hwang Yoo-hyun, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Hyeong-cheol, Lee Kwon-hee, Oh Hyun-jin  · Tickers: 007070.KS, 282330.KS, 263750.KQ, 036570.KS, 078340.KQ, 251270.KS, 003490.KS, 020560.KS, 035900.KQ, 041510.KQ, 161890.KS, 051900.KS, 090430.KS, 005930.KS, URA, 009150.KS, 000660.KS, XBI, KOSDAQ, Secondary batteries, ESS, 441270.KQ, 213420.KQ, 034220.KS, 005380.KS, 298040.KS, 010120.KS, 329180.KS, 012450.KS, 064350.KS, 267260.KS, 214450.KQ, 475150.KS, 068270.KS, 039490.KS, 016360.KS, 047810.KS