U.S. Long-dated Treasuries Loading... : Investor Sentiment and Bull/Bear Views
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19:21
Sep 10
Sep 10
Rising yields pressure long-dated Treasuries.
Ceresna says the long end of the Treasury market faces heavy supply, fiscal concerns, and rising term premium. The 10-year yield is around 4.85% and the 30-year is back above 5.30%, meaning the rising risk-free hurdle is pressuring long-dated Treasury prices.
MED
13:25
Aug 19
Aug 19
Treasury buybacks tactical, cause outsized temporary reaction.
The Treasury's increased buybacks of longer-dated debt are an unexpected, important tactical move that is producing an outsized short-term market reaction, but they do not change the fundamental picture.
MED
21:45
Jul 29
Jul 29
Bear steepening on strong growth, short long-end
The market is starting to lose faith in the Fed because growth and inflation remain high and the Fed is not addressing it, leading to a bear steepening where long-end Treasury yields rise (prices fall) while the two-year does nothing, driven by strong growth.
HIGH
About U.S. Long-dated Treasuries Investor Commentary
Across the available history and selected sources, Buzzberg tracks U.S. Long-dated Treasuries across 3 sources: 0 bullish vs 2 bearish calls from 3 authors. Historical directional balance: -67% = 100 × (bullish − bearish) / all deduplicated idea records, including other directions. This is neither a probability of a price rise nor the share of bullish authors. 3 total trade ideas tracked. Latest voices: Patrick Ceresna, James Bullard, Michael Contopoulos.