Buzzberg Cup Live
#605 Alpha Score 40.3

u/_hiddenscout

Reddit r/stocks
· tracked since Mar 2026
605
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Alpha Score 40.3
Calls
6
Win Rate
33.3%
return
-3.8%
Calls 6 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 5
Best Calls
GD Long +13.3%
ITA Long +3.5%
Worst Calls
NOC Long -14.9%
SPY Short -11.3%
LMT Long -11.1%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×1
ITA ×1
BA ×1
Recent Calls
ITA Long 2 months ago
NOC Long 2 months ago
BA Long 2 months ago
Win Rate 33% Long 5 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 33%
30d 33%
90d 0%
Average Return -3.8% Long Return -2.4% Short Return -11.3%
Average Return
7d -2.9%
30d -3.6%
90d -12.4%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 21
$219.93
-2.6%
Budget prioritizes next-generation systems like Boeing's F-47 fighter jet development. Boeing will receive development funding, positioning it for future production contracts. Boeing's defense segment gains from new program investment. Development risks, program cancellations, or budget reallocations.
Budget prioritizes next-generation systems like Boeing's F-47 fighter jet development. Boeing will receive development funding, positioning it for future production contracts. Boeing's defense segment gains from new program investment. Development risks, program cancellations, or budget reallocations.
Aerospace
Long
Apr 21
$325.37
+13.3%
Budget includes $65B for shipbuilding, specifically warships and support ships made by General Dynamics. This is the largest shipbuilding request since 1962, directly boosting GD's revenue pipeline. GD is a primary beneficiary of the "Golden Fleet" initiative. Congressional approval delays, contract adjustments, or political changes.
Budget includes $65B for shipbuilding, specifically warships and support ships made by General Dynamics. This is the largest shipbuilding request since 1962, directly boosting GD's revenue pipeline. GD is a primary beneficiary of the "Golden Fleet" initiative. Congressional approval delays, contract adjustments, or political changes.
Defense
Long
Apr 21
$223.02
+3.5%
Overall defense budget rises to $1.5T with broad increases across ships, jets, drones, and AI. The defense sector ETF holds major contractors and will benefit from sector-wide spending. ITA offers diversified exposure to the defense budget tailwind. Political gridlock, budget cuts, or sector-wide geopolitical risks.
Overall defense budget rises to $1.5T with broad increases across ships, jets, drones, and AI. The defense sector ETF holds major contractors and will benefit from sector-wide spending. ITA offers diversified exposure to the defense budget tailwind. Political gridlock, budget cuts, or sector-wide geopolitical risks.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 21
$572.97
-11.1%
Budget ramps F-35 procurement to 85 aircraft/year and includes $102B for aircraft. Lockheed Martin is the prime F-35 contractor, so increased orders directly boost earnings. LMT's defense revenue will see a significant uplift from higher F-35 production. Program delays, budget cuts, or technical issues with the F-35.
Budget ramps F-35 procurement to 85 aircraft/year and includes $102B for aircraft. Lockheed Martin is the prime F-35 contractor, so increased orders directly boost earnings. LMT's defense revenue will see a significant uplift from higher F-35 production. Program delays, budget cuts, or technical issues with the F-35.
Defense
Long
Apr 21
$617.65
-14.9%
Budget requests $6.1B specifically for Northrop Grumman's B-21 bomber. This funding directly supports NOC's strategic bomber program, enhancing revenue. NOC will see increased cash flow from the B-21 program expansion. Program cost overruns, delays, or strategic priority shifts.
Budget requests $6.1B specifically for Northrop Grumman's B-21 bomber. This funding directly supports NOC's strategic bomber program, enhancing revenue. NOC will see increased cash flow from the B-21 program expansion. Program cost overruns, delays, or strategic priority shifts.
Defense
Short
Mar 18
$667.31
-11.3%
February PPI rose 0.7% (vs 0.3% expected), with core PPI up 0.5% and services costs rising 0.5%. Hotter-than-expected inflation, particularly sticky services inflation, means the Federal Reserve is less likely to ease monetary policy, creating a headwind for broad equity valuations. The broader market faces downward pressure as inflation data forces the Fed to maintain restrictive rates longer than anticipated. The Fed could look past this data if other economic indicators show severe weakness, or the market may have already priced in sticky inflation.
February PPI rose 0.7% (vs 0.3% expected), with core PPI up 0.5% and services costs rising 0.5%. Hotter-than-expected inflation, particularly sticky services inflation, means the Federal Reserve is less likely to ease monetary policy, creating a headwind for broad equity valuations. The broader market faces downward pressure as inflation data forces the Fed to maintain restrictive rates longer than anticipated. The Fed could look past this data if other economic indicators show severe weakness, or the market may have already priced in sticky inflation.
Equity Indexes
Showing 6 of 6 calls · sorted by mentions

u/_hiddenscout has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #605 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, ITA, BA.