#849 Alpha Score 18.9

Ted Mortonson

Senior Research Analyst, Baird
· tracked since Apr 2026
849
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Alpha Score 18.9
Calls
12
Win Rate
8.3%
return
-7.1%
Calls 12 5 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 4
90d 6
Best Calls
SNOW Long +4.6%
Worst Calls
000660.KS Long -17.8%
GFS Long -14.8%
META Long -11.4%
Most Mentioned
GFS ×2
MSFT ×1
NVDA ×1
Recent Calls
TSM Long 1 week ago
SOXX Long 1 week ago
PLTR Long 1 week ago
Win Rate 8% Long 12 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 33%
30d 50%
90d 17%
Average Return -7.1% Long Return -7.1% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -3.7%
30d +6.3%
90d -6.5%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 24
$62.20
-14.8%
Global Foundries benefits from optical demand.
Global Foundries is an undiscovered name with huge optical exposure and lead times extending to 40 weeks, which should drive better utilization and growth as the semiconductor upcycle continues.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jul 21
$133.17
-1.7%
Palantir is a defense AI winner.
Palantir is a defense-oriented AI play that benefits from rising defense spending and is called a great trade amid sector rotation.
AI Software
Long
Jul 21
$552.11
-7.2%
Semi cap equipment sees multiyear 30% growth.
Semiconductor capital equipment is set for 30% annual growth over the next three to four years as memory players spend at historical levels on capacity.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 21
$421.17
-5.6%
TSMC has pricing power in advanced chips.
TSMC is the gem among foundries; it has pricing power in advanced nodes and derives 32% of revenue from leading-edge 3nm/2nm chips.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Jul 07
$2209000.00
-17.8%
SK Hynix strong on HBM dominance
Memory fundamentals are historically strong, HBM demand is soaring with multi-year visibility from binding customer agreements, and SK Hynix dominates the HBM segment, insulating it against near-term volatility.
AI Memory
Long
Jun 02
$269.73
-5.8%
DDOG and SNOW will outperform long-term.
The market underestimates free cash flow software names like DataDog and Snowflake that are consumption-based. As enterprises adopt AI, these companies will see strong revenue growth and become money machines over the long term, unlike infrastructure names that are more capital-intensive.
AI Software
Long
Jun 02
$260.94
+4.6%
DDOG and SNOW will outperform long-term.
The market underestimates free cash flow software names like DataDog and Snowflake that are consumption-based. As enterprises adopt AI, these companies will see strong revenue growth and become money machines over the long term, unlike infrastructure names that are more capital-intensive.
AI Software
Long
Apr 24
$416.50
-8.3%
Broadcom is a key semi holding.
Broadcom has sophisticated supply chains and aggressive free cash flow, making it a necessary holding for a semiconductor portfolio alongside NVIDIA.
AI ASIC
Long
Apr 24
$339.41
-3.7%
Mega-cap tech monopolies stay overweight.
Google, Meta, and Microsoft are worldwide monopolies with years-ahead technology advantages, strong free cash flow from core businesses, and the ability to fund enormous AI capex. Institutional investors will remain overweight these positions for some time.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 24
$671.35
-11.4%
Mega-cap tech monopolies stay overweight.
Google, Meta, and Microsoft are worldwide monopolies with years-ahead technology advantages, strong free cash flow from core businesses, and the ability to fund enormous AI capex. Institutional investors will remain overweight these positions for some time.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 24
$419.72
-7.2%
Mega-cap tech monopolies stay overweight.
Google, Meta, and Microsoft are worldwide monopolies with years-ahead technology advantages, strong free cash flow from core businesses, and the ability to fund enormous AI capex. Institutional investors will remain overweight these positions for some time.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 24
$208.27
-5.7%
NVIDIA is a core long-term buy.
NVIDIA has locked up its supply chain, invested heavily in Intel, and generates massive free cash flow ($35 billion last quarter). It remains the core hold for any semiconductor portfolio with aggressive free cash flow and competitive advantages.
AI Compute
Showing 12 of 12 calls · sorted by mentions

Ted Mortonson has 12 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 12 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #849 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GFS, MSFT, NVDA.