#702 Alpha Score 65.8

Steve Hanke

Professor of Applied Economics, Johns Hopkins University
@steve_hanke · tracked since Jan 2025
702
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Alpha Score 65.8
Calls
27
Win Rate
53.9%
return
+5.6%
Calls 27 3205 Posts tracked · 5.3/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 3
Win Rate 54% Long 21 Short 6
Win Rate
7d 52%
30d 41%
90d 54%
Average Return +5.6% Long Return +10.0% Short Return -9.4%
Average Return
7d -0.2%
30d -0.9%
90d +4.7%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Sep 03
$71.24
-1.1%
Lumber prices up on tariffs.
Lumber prices are way up because Trump's trade war and tariffs with Canada raise the cost of imported logs used for US lumber and homebuilding, adding roughly $8,500 to the price of an average new home.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Aug 18
$1.73
-1.2%
Hong Kong dollar currency board unbreakable.
Hong Kong survived the Asian financial crisis intact because its currency board fixes the Hong Kong dollar to the U.S. dollar with 100% US-dollar backing and no discretionary monetary policy. That structure is impossible to blow up: reserves match liabilities, arbitrage stabilizes demand, and no currency board has ever failed historically.
Capital Markets
Short
Jul 22
$56.24
-4.1%
Short yen versus dollar.
Japan's monetary policy is misunderstood. Money supply growth is anemic, so inflation will fall, not rise. Japanese bond yields will come down, and the yen carry trade will stay attractive, causing the yen to continue depreciating against the dollar.
FX & Currencies
Showing 3 of 27 calls · sorted by mentions

Steve Hanke has 27 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 24 tickers since January 2025. Win rate 54% across 26 evaluated calls, average return +5.6%. Ranked #702 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: GOLD, BNO, SILVER.

Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology