Calls
12
#496
Alpha Score 57.1
Sebastien Page
CIO & Head of Global Multi-Asset, T. Rowe Price
Win Rate
66.7%
return
+3.2%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 13
$57.30
+6.6%
Energy and metals stocks are preferred ways to get commodity exposure as an inflation hedge, given the oil supply shock and the need to diversify hedges beyond Treasuries.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 15
$82.12
-0.1%
Be short duration to protect against rising interest rates caused by inflation. Short-duration bonds are less sensitive to rate increases, making them a useful hedge in an inflation-volatile environment.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Jul 17
$57.90
+11.8%
Strong conviction on the AI theme for the next 6-12 months. The AI capex cycle is expected to be $3 trillion over the next three years, supported by tremendous end-demand: ChatGPT at 1 billion users, cloud and enterprise adoption going vertical. Rotating bottlenecks in the AI supply chain (cooling equipment, back-end equipment, process controls, chip assembly) create opportunities for skilled stock pickers. Adopters are only starting to see margin benefits and cost cutting.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 17
$50.95
+2.6%
Inflation is running at 3.5% CPI while swap markets price one-year-ahead inflation at 2% or below, indicating the market is underpricing inflation risk. Lagged effects from food (fertilizer costs), freight costs, and energy will feed into broader inflation in coming months. To hedge, they are long metals stocks, mining stocks, TIPS, and cash. They also note Treasuries are not a perfect hedge in an inflation shock and are short duration, preferring cash over longer-term bonds.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 25
$68.44
-2.3%
AI bottlenecks are expanding to cooling, electrification, aerospace, gas turbines, and spreading to small/mid-cap companies and emerging markets. Once a component becomes a bottleneck, stocks go vertical.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 18
$135.81
+5.7%
Move money from international to US large cap growth stocks as the best expression of the AI theme. Earnings growth is 28% for the next 12 months, margins are high, and valuations are below the 5-year average. These stocks tend to meet high bars.
Equity Indexes
Short
May 15
$82.08
+0.1%
Hedge inflation risk using a diversified portfolio: hold cash, be short duration, own real asset equities and metals/mining companies. Treasuries will not hedge inflation volatility; a mix of hedges is needed while staying invested.
Bonds & Rates
Long
May 15
$87.72
+2.3%
Overweight U.S. large-cap growth stocks as the best expression of the AI theme. Europe is more sensitive to the energy shock, U.S. is a net oil exporter, large-cap growth earnings growth is strong (28% projected) and valuations are below the five-year average, not bubble-like.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 15
$117.96
-2.5%
Invest in real asset equities like energy and metal companies, which tend to benefit from rising inflation and serve as effective hedges. These sectors have pricing power and commodity exposure that can offset inflation risk in a diversified portfolio.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 13
$711.86
+2.9%
U.S. large cap growth stocks are attractive because their valuation is below the historical five-year average, the Mag-7 valuation is well below its peak, and forward earnings are at the highest in 25 years. These stocks tend to beat high earnings expectations, making them the best way to express the AI trade. The firm is moving money from non-U.S. stocks into this area.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 13
$111.12
-3.6%
TIPS are a key inflation hedge because Treasuries will not rally if inflation gets worse than expected. The firm holds TIPS as part of a diversified hedge portfolio.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Feb 16
$262.96
+15.4%
T. Rowe Price is "barbelling" exposure. They note US Small Caps need rate cuts to perform, and they see a breakdown in correlation where Asia/Non-US markets are outperforming due to better valuations. With the US market concentrated and facing "AI Scare" volatility, capital is seeking diversification. Non-US Value and Small Caps (if the Fed cuts rates as implied by the "risk-off" bond bid) offer the best risk/reward for rotation. LONG Small Caps and International Value as a diversification play against US Tech concentration. Fed keeps rates higher for longer; global growth slows.
T. Rowe Price is "barbelling" exposure. They note US Small Caps need rate cuts to perform, and they see a breakdown in correlation where Asia/Non-US markets are outperforming due to better valuations. With the US market concentrated and facing "AI Scare" volatility, capital is seeking diversification. Non-US Value and Small Caps (if the Fed cuts rates as implied by the "risk-off" bond bid) offer the best risk/reward for rotation. LONG Small Caps and International Value as a diversification play against US Tech concentration. Fed keeps rates higher for longer; global growth slows.
Equity Indexes
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Sebastien Page has 12 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 11 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #496 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: XLE, CASH, SHY.
