Inflation and Fed Policy Are on Collision Course, Page Says

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 15, 2026 at 11:29  |  2:42  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Sebastien Page — CIO & Head of Global Multi-Asset, T. Rowe Price

Summary

Sébastien Page of T. Rowe Price discusses how to hedge inflation risk in current markets. He recommends a diversified set of hedges including cash, short-duration bonds, and real asset equities like energy and metal companies. He highlights strong earnings and a collision course between inflation and Fed policy as the main risk.

  • Page advises staying invested but hedging inflation risk with a diversified portfolio.
  • He recommends holding cash, being short duration, and owning real asset equities.
  • Energy and metal companies are specifically cited as inflation hedges.
  • He notes that Treasuries are unreliable as inflation hedges but useful for growth shocks.
  • Earnings are surprising to the upside, with 30% year-over-year growth trending.
  • The main market risk is the collision between inflation and Fed policy.
  • He is not overly worried about a growth shock given strong US nominal GDP growth.
Trade Ideas
Sebastien Page CIO & Head of Global Multi-Asset, T. Rowe Price 0:34
Hold cash to hedge inflation
Hold cash as part of a diversified portfolio of inflation hedges. Cash provides liquidity and stability when inflation volatility makes Treasuries unreliable as hedges.
CASH MED
Sebastien Page CIO & Head of Global Multi-Asset, T. Rowe Price 0:34
Short duration to hedge rates
Be short duration to protect against rising interest rates caused by inflation. Short-duration bonds are less sensitive to rate increases, making them a useful hedge in an inflation-volatile environment.
SHY MED
Sebastien Page CIO & Head of Global Multi-Asset, T. Rowe Price 0:34
Energy and metals hedge inflation
Invest in real asset equities like energy and metal companies, which tend to benefit from rising inflation and serve as effective hedges. These sectors have pricing power and commodity exposure that can offset inflation risk in a diversified portfolio.
XLE XLB HIGH
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815 Money Talk (815머니톡) · May 15

This Bloomberg Markets video, published May 15, 2026, features Sebastien Page discussing CASH, SHY, XLE, XLB. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Sebastien Page  · Tickers: CASH, SHY, XLE, XLB