Ibrahim states that as the Strait of Hormuz closure prolongs, it will lead to a more long-lasting disruption that will push up prices across the futures curve. She also notes the need for weeks to over a month for regional production to return to pre-crisis levels post-reopening. The disruption is creating a physical supply deficit and drawing down inventories. The extended duration suggests the market will need to price in not just current shortages but also a slower recovery and a persistent geopolitical risk premium. The sector is in a structurally tighter setup with supportive fundamentals for an extended period, meriting close monitoring for investment opportunities. Severe, rapid demand destruction in Asia/Europe that overwhelms the supply shortfall.