Ram Ahluwalia 1.7 82 ideas
CEO, Lumida Wealth
After 1 day
43%winrate
-0.1% avg
10W / 13L · 23/32 ideas
After 1 week
52%winrate
+0.5% avg
12W / 11L · 23/32 ideas
After 1 month
30%winrate
-2.0% avg
6W / 14L · 20/32 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
Stock
51 ideas
-0.9%
ETF
24 ideas
+3.7%
Crypto
4 ideas
sector
2 ideas
Commodity
1 ideas
-3.6%
Top tickers (by frequency)
META
5 ideas
100% W
+7.7%
MSFT
4 ideas
100% W
+4.4%
XLE
4 ideas
100% W
+10.1%
BTC
3 ideas
—
—
NVDA
3 ideas
0% W
-5.8%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG
+51.7%
Rahm notes that the Energy ETF (XLE) is the top performer year-to-date and oil prices surged following the US/Israel str...
Mar 04
XLE LONG
+12.6%
Ram states, "The higher level is crowdedness. Anything thematic is crowded... and that quantity is getting unwound." Whe...
Feb 26
META SHORT
+7.7%
Hyperscalers have committed to trillion-dollar spending obligations (debt) while current revenues are a fraction of that...
Feb 18
Worst calls
USO SHORT
-17.9%
The oil futures spiked on the news of Israel bombing a depot there. My view is that you had forced short covering in the...
Mar 10
XME LONG
-13.8%
Ram states, "The higher level is crowdedness. Anything thematic is crowded... and that quantity is getting unwound." Whe...
Feb 26
NVDA LONG
-8.1%
Nvidia and Apple are the only two major tech stocks trading above their 200-day moving averages. Nvidia has immense pric...
Feb 18
Avoid long duration bonds.
Inflation is making a comeback, which erodes the real return of bonds. Compared to stocks with high free cash flow yields that are real assets and repricing in nominal terms, bonds are less attractive.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Overall market bottom is in.
The market has seen significant hedging and shorting, and with the current geopolitical developments (blockade of Iran) not causing further market decline, the bottom is in for markets overall. There are great opportunities in the market.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Short energy, materials, utilities.
Energy, materials, and utilities held up the most during the market correction due to their defensive nature and the risk fear premium. As confidence returns and the fear premium dissipates, these sectors should sell off.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Buy software stocks after sell-off.
Software stocks experienced a sharp correction over three days, which looked like capitulation selling. This has created compelling value in software stocks.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Hyperliquid is a winner this cycle.
Hyperliquid is taking market share from incumbents in the crypto space, has good execution, and is enabling 24/7 markets. It is the speaker's primary exposure to crypto and is likely to be a winner in the current cycle.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Avoid MicroStrategy due to risk.
MicroStrategy is using debt to fund Bitcoin purchases, creating a mismatch between its liabilities and the non-cash-flow-generating asset (Bitcoin). If Bitcoin doesn't rise, they may be forced to sell at the worst time, making it a risky investment.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Buy homebuilders and airlines.
Sectors that are sensitive to oil prices, such as homebuilders and airlines, sold off during the conflict but have stopped declining even as the conflict lingers, indicating that bad news is priced in. These sectors now present buying opportunities.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Bitcoin bottom is in.
Bitcoin has held up well through geopolitical tensions and negative news. The collapse in CME Bitcoin futures volumes and basis is a bottom signal, indicating that the bottom is in for Bitcoin.
CEO, LuminArx Capital
Ram explicitly states, "I picked up Berkshire Hathaway last Friday. It's got a price of tangible book of 1.3. I picked up Microsoft. I picked up Meta at 17 and a half Ford PE." In a toxic market for risk assets, there is a "flight to safety to US assets" and a "flight to fundamentals." He is selectively buying large-cap tech names that now offer value after the sell-off, while avoiding others he deems expensive (Netflix, Tesla). LONG because these are high-quality US assets becoming attractively valued during a broad market deleveraging, representing pockets of safety and fundamental value. A prolonged, severe recession or further escalation in the Middle East that crushes all corporate earnings, not just valuation multiples.
Founder, Lumida Wealth
Ram stated the S&P could see a downside to ~4,200, a ~15% correction, and that the backdrop is "very toxic for risk assets." He connects several negative, uncontrolled factors: rising oil prices (inflationary), rising bond yields (tightening financial conditions), and a conflict with no clear de-escalation path. This leads to institutional and retail deleveraging. The confluence of inflationary war dynamics and stretched valuations creates strong downward pressure on the broad equity index. A swift and credible resolution to the Iran conflict that lowers oil prices and restores market confidence.
SPY
Unchained (Chopping Block)
Mar 31, 09:46
Founder, Lumida Wealth
Ram states, "Names like... Caterpillar, John Deere, that's a bubble. That whole category is a bubble." The industrials complex had "the highest relative strength" but has "rolled over." This bubble existed before the conflict, and the current torrent of negative macro information is causing it to crack. AVOID because these stocks are in a bubble that is now deflating amid a broader market correction and negative macro shock. A rapid de-escalation in the Middle East and a surprise infrastructure spending bill that re-inflates the industrial sector bubble.
DE
Unchained (Chopping Block)
Mar 31, 09:46
Founder, Lumida Wealth