Calls
15
#395
Alpha Score 69.5
Peter Tchir
Head of Macro Strategy, Academy Securities
Win Rate
46.7%
return
+3.8%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 24
$133.16
+6.0%
Markets are too complacent about Iran; WTI crude futures are edging higher due to disruption risk, and oil prices are likely to rise further.
Commodities
Long
Apr 24
$46.29
-5.1%
Europe is becoming desperate after being kicked by Russia and Iran, so it will finally unleash energy production and heavy industry. Owning energy production for security in Europe, including BP and Shell, will benefit as the region invests in domestic energy and electricity.
Oil & Gas
Long
Apr 24
$89.25
+4.0%
Europe is becoming desperate after being kicked by Russia and Iran, so it will finally unleash energy production and heavy industry. Owning energy production for security in Europe, including BP and Shell, will benefit as the region invests in domestic energy and electricity.
Oil & Gas
Long
Apr 24
$5.09
+50.3%
Blackberry is increasingly involved in the AI story and could benefit from broader AI adoption, though it's a smaller play.
Cybersecurity
Long
Apr 24
$77514.50
-0.6%
Crypto (Bitcoin, Coinbase) has underperformed in the recent rally relative to semiconductors, creating a potential reload opportunity as regulatory clarity and adoption improve.
Crypto Assets
Long
Apr 24
$82.86
+8.7%
The U.S. must grow chip production domestically, and Intel benefits from government involvement—Trump's desire to win and the 10% government stake create a favorable environment where companies want to be on the right side of the administration.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Aug 28
$106.58
-1.3%
Record investment-grade and hyperscaler debt issuance is being absorbed by investors keeping powder dry; new issues look attractive and cheap, and he expects buyers to hoover up supply after any short-lived widening.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Aug 28
$83.19
-1.5%
A coordinated Fed/Treasury Operation Twist that buys the long end and reduces duration supply could bring yields down and would make sense; if officials take that shot, any widening would be short-lived as investors hoover up long-duration paper.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Aug 28
$93.17
-1.1%
Tchir argues the Treasury market is driven by supply and demand, not bond vigilantes: there are plenty of buyers for 10-year Treasuries around 5% and buying was seen at 4.80%, so Fed Chair Warsh does not run much risk of losing control of bonds.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Aug 06
$718.09
+1.3%
The NASDAQ 100 is poised to trend lower as leveraged longs are cut and the market faces a seasonal pullback. Additionally, hyperscaler debt is dangerous with tight spreads; if AI spending slows, equity valuations will bear the brunt first.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 20
$88.23
+3.2%
Europe offers a hedge against a potential high-correlation accident in US AI trades. Europe is building out its own AI and energy infrastructure, and Trump’s actions have forced countries to do more themselves, creating opportunities.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 20
$45.12
-5.3%
US electricity and grid infrastructure needs to be built out regardless of how AI spending evolves. The sector has sold off and presents a bullish opportunity as grid investment is non-discretionary.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 10
$979.77
-2.7%
Micron gave a clear indication that it has orders locked in for years to come, providing strong revenue visibility that differentiates it from other compute companies and supports its valuation amid broader AI spending uncertainty.
AI Memory
Long
Apr 28
$79.71
+12.9%
Copper is a critical mineral for national security; the US should increase domestic extraction and smelting to reduce reliance on foreign processing and enhance self-sufficiency. This demand for domestic copper production supports a bullish view on copper prices and related investments.
Commodities
Long
Apr 24
$199.55
-12.3%
Crypto (Bitcoin, Coinbase) has underperformed in the recent rally relative to semiconductors, creating a potential reload opportunity as regulatory clarity and adoption improve.
Crypto Infrastructure
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Peter Tchir has 15 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 15 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 47% across 15 evaluated calls, average return +3.8%. Ranked #395 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BP, BNO, SHEL.
