Secular boom in AI and technology drives growth.
The AI boom is part of a Cambrian explosion of about 15 general-purpose technologies—including semiconductors, robotics, defense tech, quantum fusion, green tech, and space commercialization—that will drive a secular increase in productivity and potential growth. This is a long-term positive aggregate supply shock that will raise U.S. potential growth from 2% toward 4% by the end of the decade and also significantly benefit China. The technological positive shock outweighs stagflationary geopolitical shocks, and the trend is not a bubble but a durable secular boom.