Nathan Sheets

Chief Economist, PGIM Fixed Income
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
FXY long -2.5%
Most Mentioned
JPY ×1
FXY ×1
Recent Calls
FXY long 3 months ago
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 0%
Average Return -2.5% Long Return -2.5% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -1.1%
30d -2.2%
90d -2.0%
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 27
$58.83
-2.5%
Tokyo CPI accelerated to 1.6% (above expectations) and Retail Sales surged 4.1%. The "virtuous cycle" of inflation and wage growth allows the BOJ to proceed with normalization (rate hikes). Higher Japanese rates relative to the US (where yields are falling) compress the yield differential, strengthening the Yen. LONG JPY (Short USDJPY). The BOJ remains overly cautious and delays hikes despite the data, causing the Yen to weaken again.
Tokyo CPI accelerated to 1.6% (above expectations) and Retail Sales surged 4.1%. The "virtuous cycle" of inflation and wage growth allows the BOJ to proceed with normalization (rate hikes). Higher Japanese rates relative to the US (where yields are falling) compress the yield differential, strengthening the Yen. LONG JPY (Short USDJPY). The BOJ remains overly cautious and delays hikes despite the data, causing the Yen to weaken again.
Macro
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