Buzzberg Cup Live
#235 Alpha Score 76.8

Michael Arougheti

CEO, Ares Management
@arougheti · tracked since Mar 2026
235
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Alpha Score 76.8
Calls
6
Win Rate
83.3%
return
+8.0%
Calls 6 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
BX Long +14.4%
APO Long +12.5%
ARES Long +11.6%
Worst Calls
ENTG Long -4.3%
Most Mentioned
ARES ×1
BX ×1
KKR ×1
Recent Calls
ENTG Long 3 months ago
XLRE Long 3 months ago
APO Long 4 months ago
Win Rate 83% Long 6 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 33%
30d 33%
90d 83%
Average Return +8.0% Long Return +8.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +0.4%
30d -3.4%
90d +6.6%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 17
$144.92
-4.3%
Long sports media and entertainment ancillary investments.
Sports investing extends beyond team equity to include a broader ecosystem of ancillary businesses such as sports equipment, ticketing platforms, in-stadium hospitality, around-stadium real estate developments, advertising, youth sports, college sports, and talent agencies. This is driven by growth in media rights, a shift in media consumption to streaming, and a consumer behavioral shift towards spending on experiences like live events.
Foundry Equipment
Long
Apr 17
$44.45
+2.2%
Bullish on industrial and multifamily real estate.
Cyclically, the entry point for real estate is very well set up due to undersupply in multifamily and industrial sectors, a drawdown in values that has bottomed out, and a constructive rate environment. Secular tailwinds include demand from global supply chain reorganization, e-commerce penetration, digital infrastructure and data centers, an aging population changing living patterns, and housing affordability driving rental demand.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 03
$107.08
+12.5%
"We're coming off of a decade where you had a lot of beta players who because of the rate environment... were generating what looked to be best-in-class returns. And now that arbitrage is gone." The "beta players" (smaller firms relying on cheap leverage) are facing an extinction event. Arougheti notes that "assets follow performance." As LPs pull money from underperforming beta-chasers, that capital will re-allocate to the large-cap "Alpha Generators" who have the operational resources to actually transform companies. This flight-to-quality benefits the established alternative asset giants. Long the "Alternative Asset Supermarkets" who will gain market share during the PE shakeout. Persistently high interest rates hurting valuations of current portfolio holdings; regulatory scrutiny on private markets.
"We're coming off of a decade where you had a lot of beta players who because of the rate environment... were generating what looked to be best-in-class returns. And now that arbitrage is gone." The "beta players" (smaller firms relying on cheap leverage) are facing an extinction event. Arougheti notes that "assets follow performance." As LPs pull money from underperforming beta-chasers, that capital will re-allocate to the large-cap "Alpha Generators" who have the operational resources to actually transform companies. This flight-to-quality benefits the established alternative asset giants. Long the "Alternative Asset Supermarkets" who will gain market share during the PE shakeout. Persistently high interest rates hurting valuations of current portfolio holdings; regulatory scrutiny on private markets.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 03
$112.65
+11.6%
"I think getting larger in private equity could make sense for us... it just hasn't kept pace with the rest of the business... someone of our size and global reach should be larger generally in private equities." Ares is signaling a specific catalyst: M&A-driven expansion. In a difficult fundraising environment, smaller high-quality managers are cheaper to acquire. By bolting these onto the Ares platform ("The Ares Flywheel"), they can scale AUM and fees significantly, bringing the PE division up to parity with their dominant Credit arm. Long ARES as they execute this growth strategy, capitalizing on industry consolidation. Integration risk of acquired firms or overpaying for boutique managers.
"I think getting larger in private equity could make sense for us... it just hasn't kept pace with the rest of the business... someone of our size and global reach should be larger generally in private equities." Ares is signaling a specific catalyst: M&A-driven expansion. In a difficult fundraising environment, smaller high-quality managers are cheaper to acquire. By bolting these onto the Ares platform ("The Ares Flywheel"), they can scale AUM and fees significantly, bringing the PE division up to parity with their dominant Credit arm. Long ARES as they execute this growth strategy, capitalizing on industry consolidation. Integration risk of acquired firms or overpaying for boutique managers.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 03
$110.92
+14.4%
"We're coming off of a decade where you had a lot of beta players who because of the rate environment... were generating what looked to be best-in-class returns. And now that arbitrage is gone." The "beta players" (smaller firms relying on cheap leverage) are facing an extinction event. Arougheti notes that "assets follow performance." As LPs pull money from underperforming beta-chasers, that capital will re-allocate to the large-cap "Alpha Generators" who have the operational resources to actually transform companies. This flight-to-quality benefits the established alternative asset giants. Long the "Alternative Asset Supermarkets" who will gain market share during the PE shakeout. Persistently high interest rates hurting valuations of current portfolio holdings; regulatory scrutiny on private markets.
"We're coming off of a decade where you had a lot of beta players who because of the rate environment... were generating what looked to be best-in-class returns. And now that arbitrage is gone." The "beta players" (smaller firms relying on cheap leverage) are facing an extinction event. Arougheti notes that "assets follow performance." As LPs pull money from underperforming beta-chasers, that capital will re-allocate to the large-cap "Alpha Generators" who have the operational resources to actually transform companies. This flight-to-quality benefits the established alternative asset giants. Long the "Alternative Asset Supermarkets" who will gain market share during the PE shakeout. Persistently high interest rates hurting valuations of current portfolio holdings; regulatory scrutiny on private markets.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 03
$90.55
+11.5%
"We're coming off of a decade where you had a lot of beta players who because of the rate environment... were generating what looked to be best-in-class returns. And now that arbitrage is gone." The "beta players" (smaller firms relying on cheap leverage) are facing an extinction event. Arougheti notes that "assets follow performance." As LPs pull money from underperforming beta-chasers, that capital will re-allocate to the large-cap "Alpha Generators" who have the operational resources to actually transform companies. This flight-to-quality benefits the established alternative asset giants. Long the "Alternative Asset Supermarkets" who will gain market share during the PE shakeout. Persistently high interest rates hurting valuations of current portfolio holdings; regulatory scrutiny on private markets.
"We're coming off of a decade where you had a lot of beta players who because of the rate environment... were generating what looked to be best-in-class returns. And now that arbitrage is gone." The "beta players" (smaller firms relying on cheap leverage) are facing an extinction event. Arougheti notes that "assets follow performance." As LPs pull money from underperforming beta-chasers, that capital will re-allocate to the large-cap "Alpha Generators" who have the operational resources to actually transform companies. This flight-to-quality benefits the established alternative asset giants. Long the "Alternative Asset Supermarkets" who will gain market share during the PE shakeout. Persistently high interest rates hurting valuations of current portfolio holdings; regulatory scrutiny on private markets.
Capital Markets
Showing 6 of 6 calls · sorted by mentions

Michael Arougheti has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #235 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ARES, BX, KKR.