markminervini 5.0 39 ideas

After 1 day
53%winrate
-0.1% avg
9W / 8L · 17/29 ideas
After 1 week
58%winrate
-0.3% avg
15W / 11L · 26/29 ideas
After 1 month
58%winrate
+0.8% avg
11W / 8L · 19/29 ideas
11 winning  /  8 losing  ·  19 positions (30d)
Net: +0.8%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
SPY LONG $699.52 Apr 15
SPY LONG $700.06 Apr 15
USO SHORT $137.60 Apr 02
USO SHORT $137.22 Apr 02
SPY LONG $650.36 Mar 31
XHB SHORT $99.40 Mar 24
SPY LONG $648.31 Mar 20
SPY SHORT $661.45 Mar 18
USO SHORT $121.16 Mar 18
By sector
Stock
19 ideas +1.0%
ETF
17 ideas -0.9%
sector
2 ideas
Crypto
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
SPY 12 ideas
0% W -0.1%
USO 3 ideas
VZ 2 ideas
0% W -23.4%
TSM 2 ideas
100% W +9.1%
AVGO 2 ideas
0% W -12.2%
Best and worst calls
Stay long equities as strong price action and leading stocks signal a V-shaped recovery to new highs, overriding geopolitical and macro noise.
SPY HIGH Apr 15, 20:37
"I trust price action, leading stocks, and historical precedent. That—not emotion—drives my decisions."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
April 15, 2026 at 20:37
Maintain long equity exposure as the broader market demonstrates extreme resilience, ignoring geopolitical and macroeconomic headwinds to stage a rapid V-shaped recovery to new highs.
SPY HIGH Apr 15, 20:22
"While skeptics worry about Trump, the Middle-East and the price of oil, the S&P 500 just made a V recovery to an all-time high in just 11 days off the low."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 15, 2026 at 20:22
Crude oil is vulnerable to a pullback due to tight, overbought conditions, excessively optimistic sentiment, and early signs of easing in the Hormuz Stress Index.
USO HIGH Apr 02, 16:07
"The combination of an elevated z score and a falling Stress Index would suggest crude prices are increasingly vulnerable to the downside."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 16:07
The author initiated an intraday short position in oil near the open highs, expecting a reversal down today, with a tight stop to avoid overnight risk if the trade doesn't work immediately.
USO HIGH Apr 02, 14:05
"With that said, I did put on an oil short position right off the highs near the open."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 02, 2026 at 14:05
The broad market will bottom and then enter a new bull market phase as it discounts current negative news.
SPY MED Mar 31, 23:24
"Markets will discount and a new bull market will emerge from the rubble."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 31, 2026 at 23:24
The broader market remains in a bear market correction below the 200-day moving average, warranting a defensive stance until full capitulation and constructive base breakouts emerge.
SPY HIGH Mar 25, 20:56
"Before a reliable bottom can be established, we need to see better price and volume action, including better action from breakout names forming bases."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 25, 2026 at 20:56
Abundant inventory, elevated oil prices, and falling stock prices are expected to create significant headwinds for new construction and home sales.
XHB MED Mar 24, 12:16
"Recent drop in U.S. new home sales and abundant inventory could weigh on new construction ahead."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 24, 2026 at 12:16
The current market weakness is a temporary, cyclical correction, and the long-term upward trend remains intact, presenting a future buying opportunity.
SPY MED Mar 20, 19:18
"As noted, this is likely a cyclical correction within a broader secular bull market."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ long-term Source ↗
March 20, 2026 at 19:18
The author expects further market downside, framing it as a medium-term correction rather than a long-term structural bear market.
SPY MED Mar 18, 21:23
"More downside ahead — but a cyclical correction, not a secular bear market."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 18, 2026 at 21:23
The recent surge in oil prices was driven by a temporary geopolitical shock rather than structural demand, making a price correction likely before any sustainable upward trend can resume.
USO MED Mar 18, 17:15
"Not a secular bull market, but with sentiment still elevated, a cyclical reset is likely needed before the next sustainable move."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 18, 2026 at 17:15
All I set out to do was make a living from trading. But once I realized that the stock market is the greatest financial opportunity on earth, my goal became much bigger—to build enough wealth so I would never have to worry about money again. I wanted the personal freedom that comes with financial independence, and I achieved that by age 38. I made my first trade at 18 years old in 1983. However, I didn’t get truly serious about trading until I was 25 in 1990. Still, it took me until I was 28 to
DIA Mar 07, 16:20
March 07, 2026 at 16:20
The author expects a prolonged bottoming process for Bitcoin and suggests waiting for leading indicators, such as MSTR price action and a reversal in IBIT ETF outflows, before turning bullish.
BTC MED Mar 04, 14:28
"On balance, Bitcoin can take a couple of months to bottom even after a sharp decline."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 04, 2026 at 14:28
Avoid equities and hold cash as weak market internals, evidenced by failing breakouts and frequent reversals, suggest a poor risk/reward environment for long positions.
SPY HIGH Mar 03, 14:59
"As I pointed out on Friday, cash is king."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 03, 2026 at 14:59
The market's internal health is poor, with breakouts failing and reversals increasing, making it a poor environment for aggressive long positions.
SPY HIGH Feb 27, 15:11
"Tape action beneath the surface is worse than the indexes appear."
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ short-term Source ↗
February 27, 2026 at 15:11
1. THE FACT: "The market is feeling a bit heavy here, but small- and mid-caps have been acting well. We’ve seen money rotating out of the mega-cap leaders and into smaller names." 2. THE BRIDGE: This indicates a shift in market leadership and capital allocation, suggesting potential outperformance for small and mid-cap stocks as investors follow the money flow. 3. THE VERDICT: Long small- and mid-caps due to observed rotation out of mega-caps and their current strong performance.
MID-CAP Jan 21, 18:09
𝕏 @markminervini ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
January 21, 2026 at 18:09
markminervini | 39 trade ideas tracked | SPY, USO, VZ, TSM, AVGO | Twitter | Buzzberg