Calls
17
#806
Alpha Score 20.4
Lyn Alden
Founder, Lyn Alden Investment Strategy
Win Rate
47.1%
return
-3.0%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 10
$72692.00
-11.0%
Continuing to hold a long Bitcoin position as a structural, ongoing trade against the Federal Reserve.
Continuing to hold a long Bitcoin position as a structural, ongoing trade against the Federal Reserve.
Crypto Assets
Long
May 13
$57.52
+0.6%
Energy and commodity producers serve as a strategic hedge against stagflationary shocks such as the Strait of Hormuz closure. They perform well when input costs rise, and current disruptions boost cash flows. She holds the position long-term and does not chase recent gains.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jan 22
$451.79
-18.5%
1. THE FACT: "One of the best multi-year calls out there has been @LukeGromen predicting a much higher gold-to-oil ratio."
2. THE BRIDGE: The tweet endorses a "much higher gold-to-oil ratio" as a strong multi-year call, implying a belief that gold will significantly outperform oil.
3. THE VERDICT: Long the gold-to-oil ratio, expecting gold to appreciate relative to oil.
1. THE FACT: "One of the best multi-year calls out there has been @LukeGromen predicting a much higher gold-to-oil ratio."
2. THE BRIDGE: The tweet endorses a "much higher gold-to-oil ratio" as a strong multi-year call, implying a belief that gold will significantly outperform oil.
3. THE VERDICT: Long the gold-to-oil ratio, expecting gold to appreciate relative to oil.
Commodities
Long
May 16
$556.34
-0.1%
Semiconductors are a structural bottleneck and a real growth area. Despite being consensus, the thesis is correct. Lyn Alden uses drawdowns in the sector to re-enter, buying on dips because the fundamental demand drivers (AI, data centers, electrification) remain intact and the supply chain is tight.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Mar 30
$124.20
+1.1%
The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz is a major bullish catalyst for oil prices due to a persistent supply shock.
The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz is a major bullish catalyst for oil prices due to a persistent supply shock.
Commodities
Long
Jun 25
$51.13
+6.4%
Holds long-term positions in energy stocks and pipelines, expects oil to trend higher over time as global reserves need refilling and supply constraints persist. Current prices rational near-term but sees upside longer term.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Jun 21
$114.87
-9.3%
If the Iran ceasefire holds and oil flows resume, this should be a bearish force on oil prices, helping energy costs fall and reducing inflation pressure in the back half of the year.
Commodities
Short
Jun 07
$1596.73
-16.4%
Lyn Alden expresses personal bearish conviction on ETH (and all non-BTC crypto), asserting terminal failure — but offers no structural mechanism; thin reasoning in a reply context limits conviction significantly.
Lyn Alden expresses personal bearish conviction on ETH (and all non-BTC crypto), asserting terminal failure — but offers no structural mechanism; thin reasoning in a reply context limits conviction significantly.
Crypto Assets
Short
Jun 07
$64.04
-17.8%
Lyn Alden expresses personal bearish conviction on SOL (and all non-BTC crypto), asserting terminal failure — but offers no structural mechanism; thin reasoning in a reply context limits conviction significantly.
Lyn Alden expresses personal bearish conviction on SOL (and all non-BTC crypto), asserting terminal failure — but offers no structural mechanism; thin reasoning in a reply context limits conviction significantly.
Crypto Assets
Long
May 16
$170.58
+0.5%
Japanese trading companies (sogo shosha) are effectively leveraged to scarce assets (commodities, convenience stores, logistics). They borrow at near-zero yen rates and own hard assets, which makes them a way to benefit from the structure of shorting fiat currency. Lyn Alden has been long these companies for years and remains long, similar to Berkshire Hathaway's position.
Equity Indexes
Long
May 16
$51.10
+10.4%
Banks and financials are resilient because they hold high levels of reserves and safe assets, they are on the receiving side of fiscal deficits (earning higher interest on their holdings), and they trade at cheap valuations. This makes them an attractive value dividend play in both US and Latin American markets.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 13
$61.88
+13.4%
Banks in general are attractive from a value perspective. They offer low multiples and potential for returns as part of a barbell approach alongside growthier assets like Bitcoin and AI.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Feb 24
$50.98
-10.6%
The author is making a direct, explicit call to short the financial sector.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Feb 03
$51.70
-25.1%
The US is entering an era of "Industrial Policy" and "Mercantilism" (e.g., Trump's "Project Vault" for critical minerals). In a multipolar, adversarial world, efficiency (globalization) is replaced by resiliency (stockpiles). Governments must secure physical supplies of uranium, rare earths, and copper, creating a price floor and structural demand. Structurally bullish on commodities essential for national security and energy. Government price controls or windfall taxes on mining companies.
The US is entering an era of "Industrial Policy" and "Mercantilism" (e.g., Trump's "Project Vault" for critical minerals). In a multipolar, adversarial world, efficiency (globalization) is replaced by resiliency (stockpiles). Governments must secure physical supplies of uranium, rare earths, and copper, creating a price floor and structural demand. Structurally bullish on commodities essential for national security and energy. Government price controls or windfall taxes on mining companies.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jan 08
$104.44
-11.1%
1. THE FACT: "network effects are a big deal and last longer than anyone thinks. They are rarely factored into sensational analysis such as this." The "train" (referring to a trend, likely tech/network-driven) will not stop.
2. THE BRIDGE: Underestimation of network effects' longevity means current valuations or future growth projections for companies benefiting from strong network effects might be too conservative.
3. THE VERDICT: Long companies with strong network effects due to their underestimated longevity.
1. THE FACT: "network effects are a big deal and last longer than anyone thinks. They are rarely factored into sensational analysis such as this." The "train" (referring to a trend, likely tech/network-driven) will not stop.
2. THE BRIDGE: Underestimation of network effects' longevity means current valuations or future growth projections for companies benefiting from strong network effects might be too conservative.
3. THE VERDICT: Long companies with strong network effects due to their underestimated longevity.
Thematic ETFs
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Lyn Alden has 17 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 16 tickers since December 2025. Win rate 47% across 17 evaluated calls, average return -3.0%. Ranked #806 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, XLE, GOLD.
