#120
Alpha Score 84.0
Jay Woods
Chief Global Strategist at Freedom Capital Markets
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 03
$313.84
+53.4%
"Where I want to put money to work right now are those beaten down technology names... Let's follow Broadcom. Let's follow CrowdStrike." Broadcom (AVGO) specifically held a "key reversal" at its 200-day moving average, similar to a setup seen in Nvidia previously. The speaker views these software/semiconductor names as oversold ("beaten down") relative to their fundamentals and technical support levels. LONG. Technical mean reversion play in high-quality tech. Continued sector rotation out of tech if yields rise or if the "Mag-7" fail to hold the market up.
"Where I want to put money to work right now are those beaten down technology names... Let's follow Broadcom. Let's follow CrowdStrike." Broadcom (AVGO) specifically held a "key reversal" at its 200-day moving average, similar to a setup seen in Nvidia previously. The speaker views these software/semiconductor names as oversold ("beaten down") relative to their fundamentals and technical support levels. LONG. Technical mean reversion play in high-quality tech. Continued sector rotation out of tech if yields rise or if the "Mag-7" fail to hold the market up.
AI/Semi
Long
Mar 03
$391.42
+105.4%
"Where I want to put money to work right now are those beaten down technology names... Let's follow Broadcom. Let's follow CrowdStrike." Broadcom (AVGO) specifically held a "key reversal" at its 200-day moving average, similar to a setup seen in Nvidia previously. The speaker views these software/semiconductor names as oversold ("beaten down") relative to their fundamentals and technical support levels. LONG. Technical mean reversion play in high-quality tech. Continued sector rotation out of tech if yields rise or if the "Mag-7" fail to hold the market up.
"Where I want to put money to work right now are those beaten down technology names... Let's follow Broadcom. Let's follow CrowdStrike." Broadcom (AVGO) specifically held a "key reversal" at its 200-day moving average, similar to a setup seen in Nvidia previously. The speaker views these software/semiconductor names as oversold ("beaten down") relative to their fundamentals and technical support levels. LONG. Technical mean reversion play in high-quality tech. Continued sector rotation out of tech if yields rise or if the "Mag-7" fail to hold the market up.
NatSec
Long
Mar 03
$120.80
+1.9%
"Look at something like Target... What a turnaround story... Risk reward Target looks good." While the broader market is uncertain, specific idiosyncratic turnaround stories offer better risk/reward profiles than the indices. The speaker identifies the company's turnaround efforts as a catalyst that has been overlooked ("lost in the shuffle"). LONG. A specific stock-picking play amidst macro volatility. Consumer spending weakness if oil prices act as a tax on disposable income.
"Look at something like Target... What a turnaround story... Risk reward Target looks good." While the broader market is uncertain, specific idiosyncratic turnaround stories offer better risk/reward profiles than the indices. The speaker identifies the company's turnaround efforts as a catalyst that has been overlooked ("lost in the shuffle"). LONG. A specific stock-picking play amidst macro volatility. Consumer spending weakness if oil prices act as a tax on disposable income.
Consumer
Long
Feb 26
$199.47
+0.7%
Workday (WDAY) had a bad quarter and gapped lower, but "closed higher." Salesforce (CRM) guidance was poor, but price action is "finding a floor." When stocks stop going down on bad news (gap down + close green), it indicates seller exhaustion ("we finally puked this out"). This technical signal suggests the bottom is in. LONG. Tactical entry based on technical capitulation. Further guidance cuts or macro slowdown affecting enterprise software spend.
Workday (WDAY) had a bad quarter and gapped lower, but "closed higher." Salesforce (CRM) guidance was poor, but price action is "finding a floor." When stocks stop going down on bad news (gap down + close green), it indicates seller exhaustion ("we finally puked this out"). This technical signal suggests the bottom is in. LONG. Tactical entry based on technical capitulation. Further guidance cuts or macro slowdown affecting enterprise software spend.
AI/Semi
Long
Feb 26
$184.16
+2.0%
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
Energy
Long
Feb 26
$203.79
+26.7%
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
Energy
Long
Feb 26
$139.11
+5.4%
Workday (WDAY) had a bad quarter and gapped lower, but "closed higher." Salesforce (CRM) guidance was poor, but price action is "finding a floor." When stocks stop going down on bad news (gap down + close green), it indicates seller exhaustion ("we finally puked this out"). This technical signal suggests the bottom is in. LONG. Tactical entry based on technical capitulation. Further guidance cuts or macro slowdown affecting enterprise software spend.
Workday (WDAY) had a bad quarter and gapped lower, but "closed higher." Salesforce (CRM) guidance was poor, but price action is "finding a floor." When stocks stop going down on bad news (gap down + close green), it indicates seller exhaustion ("we finally puked this out"). This technical signal suggests the bottom is in. LONG. Tactical entry based on technical capitulation. Further guidance cuts or macro slowdown affecting enterprise software spend.
AI/Semi
Long
Feb 26
$55.05
+5.3%
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
Energy
Long
Feb 26
$47.18
-6.8%
"The utility sector [is] breaking out." The AI trade is shifting from chips to "Infrastructure plays." Domestic spending on data centers and chips requires massive power, directly benefiting utilities. LONG. Follow the rotation into physical infrastructure. Rising interest rates (utilities are bond proxies) or regulatory caps on pricing.
"The utility sector [is] breaking out." The AI trade is shifting from chips to "Infrastructure plays." Domestic spending on data centers and chips requires massive power, directly benefiting utilities. LONG. Follow the rotation into physical infrastructure. Rising interest rates (utilities are bond proxies) or regulatory caps on pricing.
Energy
Long
Feb 26
$148.54
+0.7%
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
"That's where the puck is going." Energy is a "safe place to be" with conflict risks involving Iran and oil prices near highs. In an election year with geopolitical instability, capital is rotating into hard assets and cash-flow-rich energy majors (Exxon, Chevron, Valero) as a hedge. LONG. Momentum breakout in the sector. De-escalation in the Middle East leading to a drop in oil risk premiums.
Energy
Long
Feb 09
$85.06
+22.6%
The software sector is currently "sludging" and trading at six-year lows relative to the S&P 500. The speaker is "nibbling" here for a bounce. The selloff is viewed as overdone ("oversold"). With major earnings reports coming from AppLovin, Unity, and Datadog, a stabilization could trigger a "fast and furious" relief rally. 17% of the S&P made new highs recently, but software lagged. The speaker eyes a specific technical entry around the $77 level (referencing a software ETF proxy). If the price breaks below $75, the technical setup fails, and the trade becomes a long-term "bag hold" or requires an exit.
The software sector is currently "sludging" and trading at six-year lows relative to the S&P 500. The speaker is "nibbling" here for a bounce. The selloff is viewed as overdone ("oversold"). With major earnings reports coming from AppLovin, Unity, and Datadog, a stabilization could trigger a "fast and furious" relief rally. 17% of the S&P made new highs recently, but software lagged. The speaker eyes a specific technical entry around the $77 level (referencing a software ETF proxy). If the price breaks below $75, the technical setup fails, and the trade becomes a long-term "bag hold" or requires an exit.
AI/Semi
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