Holger Zschäpitz 5.0 5 ideas

Financial Journalist, Die Welt
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Per mention Per thesis
ⓘ First mention per (ticker, direction)
Layout Default A B C D
Total Picks
4
Avg Return
Avg Long
Avg Short
Best
Worst
Winrate (avg)
73%
Long / Short
3 / 1
Themes
MACRO
2
OTHER
1
ENERGY
1
Theme: Stance:
Ticker Mentions Stance Conv Entry P&L YTD Theme Thesis (click to expand) Mentioned Src
BAS.DE ×1 LONG MED $54.02 Other Buy BASF and Wacker Chemie as the Iran conflict disrupts naphtha supply to Asian competitors, restoring pricing power and margins for German chemical producers in the near term. Apr 22 TWITTER
EWG ×2 SHORT MED $40.69 Macro A significant GDP forecast downgrade from a major bank, citing multiple headwinds (war, weather, weak retail), points to a deteriorating economic outlook for Germany. Mar 11 TWITTER
USO ×1 LONG MED $81.95 Energy The author expects oil prices to rise due to escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt supply. Mar 01 TWITTER
EWG ×1 LONG MED $43.90 Macro The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking case for a German economic recovery, expecting ~0.3% GDP growth. Feb 23 TWITTER
MACRO
2
OTHER
1
ENERGY
1
Buy BASF and Wacker Chemie as the Iran conflict disrupts naphtha supply to Asian competitors, restoring pricing power and margins for German chemical producers in the near term.
BAS.DE WCH HIGH Apr 22, 10:40
"With Asian rivals starved of naphtha, BASF and Wacker Chemie are reclaiming the pricing power they lost over the past 6yrs."
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 22, 2026 at 10:40
A significant GDP forecast downgrade from a major bank, citing multiple headwinds (war, weather, weak retail), points to a deteriorating economic outlook for Germany.
EWG HIGH Mar 11, 18:20
"OUCH! Deutsche Bank has lowered its growth forecast for #Germany this year from 1.5% to 1%."
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 11, 2026 at 18:20
The author expects oil prices to rise due to escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt supply.
USO MED Mar 01, 13:15
"With oil prices poised to jump if the conflict in the Middle East escalates Brent could rise toward €75/bbl or more once markets reopen."
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 01, 2026 at 13:15
The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking case for a German economic recovery, expecting ~0.3% GDP growth.
EWG MED Feb 23, 09:28
"While the Ifo remains in contractionary territory, other surveys paint a more optimistic picture w/Bundesbank Activity Index consistent w/stagnation and the Composite PMI, which rose again in Feb, now pointing to GDP growth of ~0.3"
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 23, 2026 at 09:28
Positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
BAS.DE LONG 54.02 EUR Apr 22
EWG SHORT $40.69 Mar 11
USO LONG $81.95 Mar 01
EWG LONG $43.90 Feb 23
Holger Zschäpitz (Financial Journalist, Die Welt) | 5 trade ideas tracked | EWG, USO, QQQ, RJF, SILVER | Twitter | Buzzberg