Schuldensuehner 5.0 26 ideas
After 1 day
62%winrate
+1.1% avg
10W / 6L · 16/25 ideas
After 1 week
80%winrate
+3.0% avg
12W / 3L · 15/25 ideas
After 1 month
N/A
13/15 min ideas
By sector
ETF
15 ideas
+11.9%
Stock
5 ideas
+11.7%
Commodity
2 ideas
-61.3%
sector
2 ideas
Crypto
1 ideas
+6.4%
currency
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
EWG
9 ideas
40% W
+0.5%
USO
3 ideas
100% W
+57.0%
QQQ
1 ideas
100% W
+3.8%
RJF
1 ideas
100% W
+11.7%
SILVER
1 ideas
0% W
-61.3%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG
+58.4%
Geopolitical conflict in the Middle East creates an asymmetric upside risk for oil prices due to the potential for a sup...
Feb 28
RJF SHORT
+11.7%
The author believes AI tools represent a significant, ongoing disruptive threat to the business model of wealth manageme...
Feb 10
EWG SHORT
+8.9%
The unexpected drop in the German ZEW investor expectations index signals a potential stall in the country's economic re...
Feb 17
Worst calls
SILVER SHORT
-61.3%
1. THE FACT: Silver's rally over the past six months was strongly supported by inflows into silver ETFs. Recently, those...
Dec 29
EWG LONG
-10.1%
The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking c...
Feb 23
SPY SHORT
-2.9%
1. THE FACT: OUCH! S&P closed below its 50-day moving average for the first time in 139 trading sessions. (Chart and sta...
Nov 18
Short German equities (EWG) as the underlying economy is weakening due to a hollowing out of productive manufacturing jobs and an unsustainable reliance on state-funded growth.
EWG
MED
Apr 06, 08:14
Key indicators like the Taylor Rule and rising long-term inflation expectations suggest the ECB is behind the curve, creating pressure for a more hawkish policy stance that would strengthen the Euro.
EUR
MED
Mar 19, 08:53
The German government is misallocating borrowed capital towards consumption instead of productive investment, which is structurally bearish for the German economy.
EWG
MED
Mar 18, 08:41
Short the German market as persistently high energy prices are a major headwind that could halt its economic recovery.
EWG
MED
Mar 14, 07:32
The Ifo Institute's stagflationary forecast for Germany, citing lower growth and higher inflation, presents a bearish outlook for the country's economy.
EWG
MED
Mar 13, 13:01
Geopolitical risk from tanker attacks in the Middle East is creating upward pressure on oil prices, suggesting a break of the $100/bbl level is likely.
USO
MED
Mar 12, 01:47
A significant GDP forecast downgrade from a major bank, citing multiple headwinds (war, weather, weak retail), points to a deteriorating economic outlook for Germany.
EWG
HIGH
Mar 11, 18:20
A deeper look at German trade data reveals that the headline surplus is a sign of a slowing domestic economy and collapsing import demand, which is bearish for German equities.
EWG
HIGH
Mar 10, 08:24
Short airline stocks as soaring oil prices will severely undermine profitability, presenting a major headwind for the sector.
JETS
MED
Mar 06, 23:38
Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner)
OOPS! UK 10y yields jump 13bps on energy shock. https://t.co/Wl4W9ONQWl
Tweet Link
UK10Y
Mar 06, 15:25
The German housing boom is over, and while tight supply will prevent a major decline, future price appreciation will be limited to inflation.
VNA.DE
MED
Mar 06, 11:49
The author expects oil prices to rise due to escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt supply.
USO
MED
Mar 01, 13:15
Geopolitical conflict in the Middle East creates an asymmetric upside risk for oil prices due to the potential for a supply shock if the Strait of Hormuz is closed.
USO
MED
Feb 28, 14:13
The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking case for a German economic recovery, expecting ~0.3% GDP growth.
EWG
MED
Feb 23, 09:28
The author posits that the introduction of joint European bonds would erode Germany's favorable borrowing spread, making its sovereign debt (Bunds) less attractive on a relative basis.
BUND
MED
Feb 19, 13:30