Holger Zschäpitz 5.0 5 ideas

Financial Journalist, Die Welt
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BAS.DE
BASF SE
Buy BASF and Wacker Chemie as the Iran conflict disrupts naphtha supply to Asian competitors, restoring pricing power and margins for German chemical producers in the near term.
Other  · Apr 22 · TWITTER
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LONG MED
EWG
iShares MSCI Germany ETF
A significant GDP forecast downgrade from a major bank, citing multiple headwinds (war, weather, weak retail), points to a deteriorating economic outlook for Germany.
Macro  · Mar 11 · TWITTER
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SHORT MED
USO
United States Oil Fund
The author expects oil prices to rise due to escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt supply.
Energy  · Mar 01 · TWITTER
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LONG MED
EWG
iShares MSCI Germany ETF
The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking case for a German economic recovery, expecting ~0.3% GDP growth.
Macro  · Feb 23 · TWITTER
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LONG MED
Positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
BAS.DE LONG 54.02 EUR Apr 22
EWG SHORT $40.69 Mar 11
USO LONG $81.95 Mar 01
EWG LONG $43.90 Feb 23
Best and worst 30-day returns
Price change 30 days after entry. Extreme outliers excluded.
Best calls
USO LONG +55.5%
The author expects oil prices to rise due to escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt su...
Mar 01
EWG SHORT -2.2%
A significant GDP forecast downgrade from a major bank, citing multiple headwinds (war, weather, weak retail), points to...
Mar 11
EWG LONG -10.1%
The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking c...
Feb 23
Worst calls
EWG LONG -10.1%
The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking c...
Feb 23
EWG SHORT -2.2%
A significant GDP forecast downgrade from a major bank, citing multiple headwinds (war, weather, weak retail), points to...
Mar 11
USO LONG +55.5%
The author expects oil prices to rise due to escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt su...
Mar 01
Buy BASF and Wacker Chemie as the Iran conflict disrupts naphtha supply to Asian competitors, restoring pricing power and margins for German chemical producers in the near term.
BAS.DE WCH HIGH Apr 22, 10:40
"With Asian rivals starved of naphtha, BASF and Wacker Chemie are reclaiming the pricing power they lost over the past 6yrs."
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ short-term Source ↗
April 22, 2026 at 10:40
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner
A significant GDP forecast downgrade from a major bank, citing multiple headwinds (war, weather, weak retail), points to a deteriorating economic outlook for Germany.
EWG HIGH Mar 11, 18:20
"OUCH! Deutsche Bank has lowered its growth forecast for #Germany this year from 1.5% to 1%."
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
March 11, 2026 at 18:20
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner
The author expects oil prices to rise due to escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which could disrupt supply.
USO MED Mar 01, 13:15
"With oil prices poised to jump if the conflict in the Middle East escalates Brent could rise toward €75/bbl or more once markets reopen."
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ short-term Source ↗
March 01, 2026 at 13:15
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner
The author synthesizes multiple improving data points (Ifo, Bundesbank Activity Index, PMI) to build a forward-looking case for a German economic recovery, expecting ~0.3% GDP growth.
EWG MED Feb 23, 09:28
"While the Ifo remains in contractionary territory, other surveys paint a more optimistic picture w/Bundesbank Activity Index consistent w/stagnation and the Composite PMI, which rose again in Feb, now pointing to GDP growth of ~0.3"
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner ⏲ medium-term Source ↗
February 23, 2026 at 09:28
𝕏 @Schuldensuehner
Holger Zschäpitz (Financial Journalist, Die Welt) | 5 trade ideas tracked | EWG, USO, QQQ, RJF, SILVER | Twitter | Buzzberg