#494
Alpha Score 41.4
George Goncalves
Head of Research, Blockworks
Visual Insights
Data-driven breakdowns of mentions and mindshare
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 17
$94.50
-0.2%
Inflation has largely been driven by oil shocks, and with oil prices contained despite the Strait of Hormuz crisis, inflation is likely peaking. The high prints for rates are behind us, and we are entering a ‘summer of the bond market’. If oil and inflation peak, the Fed will have room to cut rates by year-end, leading to a bond rally.
Macro
Short
Jun 17
$751.10
+0.6%
By year-end, the market's optimistic macro view is likely to be proven wrong, causing the bond market to win out versus the stock market, implying bonds will outperform equities.
Macro
Long
Jun 17
$86.35
+0.4%
We are entering a summer of the bond market; rates have peaked for the cycle, oil prices are contained, no second-wave inflation, labor market not as strong as reported, and the Fed could open a window to cut rates later this year, fueling a bond rally.
Macro
Short
Jun 17
$115.18
+0.3%
Oil prices have stayed contained despite massive supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz; skeptical of a second wave of higher oil prices, as inflation from oil shocks is not sustainable.
Energy
Long
Jun 17
$188.65
+1.4%
For long-duration sectors like technology, a bond rally likely fuels further equity gains in a self-reinforcing mechanism until the correlation breaks, benefiting technology near-term.
AI/Semi
Long
May 28
$76.46
+0.9%
The US equity market now represents about 70% of the global equity market, which appears near its limit. Other international equity markets offer better yield and diversification benefits. With US valuations stretched and the potential for a growth shock, it makes sense to ‘shop around the world’ for more attractive equity exposure outside the US.
Macro
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George Goncalves has 6 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 6 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #494 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SPY, BNO, TLT.