#285 Alpha Score 62.2

Clayton Siegel

Senior Fellow, CSIS (Energy Security)
@ClaySeigle · tracked since Mar 2026
285
BUZZBERG Alpha Score combines three things: realized average return, confidence in the sample size, idea volume, and speaker reputation. Speakers with only a few calls are pulled closer to the platform average; speakers with many evaluated ideas keep more of their own return. Reputation only boosts: 5.0 or lower is neutral, while scores above 5 add weight. Scores are normalized to 0-100; 100 is best. Read the FAQ
Alpha Score 62.2
Calls 5 21 Posts tracked · 0.2/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
WTI long +61.8%
OXY long +9.0%
XLE long +2.9%
Worst Calls
XOM long -1.1%
Most Mentioned
XLE ×1
XOM ×1
CVX ×1
Recent Calls
OXY long 3 months ago
CVX long 3 months ago
XOM long 3 months ago
Win Rate 80% Long 5 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 40%
30d 100%
90d 60%
Average Return +14.5% Long Return +14.5% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +3.5%
30d +13.8%
90d +11.9%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 02
$189.60
+0.1%
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Energy
Long
Mar 02
$54.21
+9.0%
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Energy
Long
Mar 02
$87.19
+61.8%
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Energy
Long
Mar 02
$57.04
+2.9%
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Energy
Long
Mar 02
$154.22
-1.1%
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Tanker shipments in the Strait of Hormuz have come to a halt due to attacks on three ships. Siegel states, "That's 600 million barrels that could potentially be deprived... that's basically a week of no oil." He explicitly puts "$90-$100 barrel oil" on the table. The physical blockage of a chokepoint handling 20% of the world's oil supply creates an immediate supply shock. With OPEC spare capacity low and US inventories as the only cushion, prices must rise to ration demand. This directly benefits crude futures and major integrated oil producers with non-Gulf production. LONG. Energy is the primary hedge against this geopolitical conflict. Rapid de-escalation or release of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) dampening price spikes.
Energy
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