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Chase likes a broad agricultural commodities basket but prefers tropical softs because they are not grown everywhere and are more exposed to localized weather and fertilizer problems. He specifically favors a combo of rice, sugar, cocoa, and coffee, with coffee potentially coming back after weakness.
Chase has migrated from December WTI into May 2027 WTI futures because the far-dated contracts are much lower and have less downside if the war ends; if the conflict lasts a few more months, May and other far-dated contracts in the 70s are mispriced relative to the ongoing supply disruption.
Chase likes a broad agricultural commodities basket but prefers tropical softs because they are not grown everywhere and are more exposed to localized weather and fertilizer problems. He specifically favors a combo of rice, sugar, cocoa, and coffee, with coffee potentially coming back after weakness.
Chase is a medium- and long-term gold bull. If the war ends, gold could rip; if the Treasury or Fed uses TGA spending, QE, or other gimmicks to suppress yields, gold should also rip. If the war continues, a new low is possible, but he still loves being involved over the medium and long term.
Chase likes a broad agricultural commodities basket but prefers tropical softs because they are not grown everywhere and are more exposed to localized weather and fertilizer problems. He specifically favors a combo of rice, sugar, cocoa, and coffee, with coffee potentially coming back after weakness.
Chase likes KROP, an agtech ETF, because it formed a beaten-up, long sideways base and has a tight-stop setup. It has tailwinds from China's ag innovation push and precision agriculture demand, and could run if the broader agriculture space is still early- or mid-cycle.
For investors who want crude exposure without K-1 tax headaches, Chase likes OILK because the extreme backwardation allows the ETF to monetize roll yield. It pays monthly dividends, the last was around a 30% annualized rate, total return has been over 50% year-to-date, and it has beaten semiconductors.
Chase is open to tactical long AI and semiconductor trades because earnings and outlooks remain strong and valuations are not extreme, and if the war ends and rates pull back, investors may rotate back into the group. However, technological revolutions eventually overbuild, so he would use calls or outright longs with tight stops to define risk, citing SMH and DRAM/memory as having become overlevered before correcting.
Chase holds December 2026 natural gas puts and still sees downside. A combination of warm shoulder-season weather and rising associated gas production has left North America with too much gas that is hard to move, and he thinks the December contract can fall to around $3 unless a cold shot hits.
Chase has been long crude oil through the war and expects WTI to keep moving higher as long as the conflict continues. The Houthis control Bab el-Mandeb and Iran can influence the Strait of Hormuz; SPR releases and China's pullback capped the move earlier, but Chinese buying is returning and two strategic choke points are now at risk. He sees the trade as binary: war on, oil higher; war off, oil much lower.
Chase Taylor has 10 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 10 tickers since September 2026. Ranked #885 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SMH, BNO, GOLD.
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#885 of 1968 voices on Buzzberg