Brent Thill

Money is flowing towards AI infrastructure and hardware such as semiconductors, memory, and physical infrastructure rather than software, amid massive capex spending by hyperscalers. AMD is seeing 35% growth and is a prime beneficiary.

Alphabet is raising $80B in equity from a position of strength, not weakness. They have a massive cash flow ($126B cash), leading AI position with integrated stack (Gemini, hardware, semi infrastructure), and the AI capex cycle is still early. The dilution is manageable relative to the $4.5T market cap, and the move strategically front-runs upcoming mega IPOs (SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI). Alphabet's forward P/E of 28x is not extreme, and the earnings growth supports the valuation.

Jefferies downgraded both stocks. Workday specifically has seen a CEO change, executive turnover, and investors are skeptical of its 13-14% growth targets. The market is currently punishing "legacy SaaS" companies that cannot prove immediate AI monetization. Management turnover combined with slowing growth creates a "show me" story that usually leads to multiple compression (Derating). SHORT / AVOID. An unexpected earnings beat or faster-than-anticipated AI product rollout could trigger a short squeeze.

Jefferies downgraded both stocks. Workday specifically has seen a CEO change, executive turnover, and investors are skeptical of its 13-14% growth targets. The market is currently punishing "legacy SaaS" companies that cannot prove immediate AI monetization. Management turnover combined with slowing growth creates a "show me" story that usually leads to multiple compression (Derating). SHORT / AVOID. An unexpected earnings beat or faster-than-anticipated AI product rollout could trigger a short squeeze.