Builders FirstSource is a company they know well, now down over 50% from its high near $230 to around $75. The business has earnings potential of $15-20 per share in a normalized environment. They view this as a great entry point again and are building a position, expecting strong returns over the next 3-5 years as the cyclical recovery unfolds.
Homebuilding stocks have pulled back dramatically, and the market is pricing in extremely poor results. The downturn is cyclical, and the industry has right-sized to a level of activity that is not sustainable. Valuations are substantially discounted, and increasing activity is likely over the next few years, though timing is uncertain.
The offshore oil services industry has fundamentally changed supply-demand dynamics, with limited capacity after years of underinvestment since 2015. Geopolitical events like the Middle East conflict have accelerated energy security concerns, driving countries to develop domestic resources. Valuations remain modest, making the sector extremely compelling almost regardless of oil prices.