Jim Bianco 7.7 90 ideas
President, Bianco Research
After 1 day
41%winrate
-0.1% avg
19W / 27L · 46/61 ideas
After 1 week
61%winrate
+1.7% avg
28W / 18L · 46/63 ideas
After 1 month
53%winrate
+2.2% avg
18W / 16L · 34/63 ideas
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
By sector
ETF
63 ideas
-0.2%
Stock
12 ideas
+5.6%
Crypto
7 ideas
-2.7%
currency
4 ideas
Commodity
3 ideas
+34.2%
index
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
USO
26 ideas
44% W
+2.0%
TLT
15 ideas
86% W
+1.6%
SPY
7 ideas
33% W
-0.4%
BTC
6 ideas
50% W
-2.7%
GLD
3 ideas
0% W
-9.4%
Best and worst calls
Best calls
USO LONG
+51.7%
"I would probably term them more fair value... they're probably a decent investment that you can put your money into and...
Mar 04
BRENT LONG
+35.9%
Since the protests began in Iran in December, Brent Crude oil is up 43% (red).
22% (green) of this rise, or roughly ha...
Mar 05
SILVER LONG
+32.5%
1. THE FACT: Spot Silver hit a new record high, surpassing its October peak and is now over $55. 2025 has been an amazin...
Nov 28
Worst calls
USO SHORT
-21.5%
The market is removing the geopolitical risk premium from oil as the Iran conflict appears to be ending without damage t...
Mar 09
SLV LONG
-12.3%
"I would probably term them more fair value... they're probably a decent investment that you can put your money into and...
Mar 04
BTC SHORT
-9.8%
The author states with high conviction that the Bitcoin bull market has concluded, implying a major trend change and a b...
Feb 23
Short BIRD as the massive price spike driven purely by a corporate rebranding is a speculative bubble reminiscent of the 2017 crypto top, indicating an impending collapse.
BIRD
HIGH
Apr 16, 01:55
President, Bianco Research
Jim Bianco's reply referencing $200 crude oil suggests a highly bullish outlook for oil prices, which would significantly impact energy markets and inflation.
USO
Apr 13, 13:14
President, Bianco Research
Buy oil as a massive 10-15M bpd supply deficit requires significantly higher prices to force demand destruction, especially since government subsidies are artificially sustaining consumption.
USO
HIGH
Apr 13, 11:00
President, Bianco Research
Strong export demand evidenced by empty supertankers heading to the US will drive domestic crude oil prices higher.
USO
HIGH
Apr 12, 15:58
President, Bianco Research
Buy tanker stocks (e.g., TNK) because the rerouting of Middle Eastern crude to the US will dramatically increase ton-mile demand, while fleet expansion is a 3-5 year process, supporting higher day rates.
TNK
HIGH
Apr 12, 14:58
President, Bianco Research
Short the broader market as a U.S. withdrawal from the Iran conflict and acceptance of a closed Strait of Hormuz would trigger significant economic disruption.
SPY
HIGH
Mar 31, 01:14
President, Bianco Research
Crude oil prices will continue to rise because the market is signaling that military intervention is required to open the Strait, and geopolitical delays are only adding to the supply premium.
USO
HIGH
Mar 27, 11:24
President, Bianco Research
The author argues the delay in opening the Strait of Hormuz due to the Iran War will sustain higher crude oil prices, as the fundamental supply constraint remains unresolved.
USO
HIGH
Mar 26, 23:29
President, Bianco Research
Expecting bond yields to rise (and bond prices to fall) as long as the Fed remains passive on addressing inflation.
TLT
HIGH
Mar 22, 20:41
President, Bianco Research
Rising inflation expectations derived from TIPS suggest the Fed may need to hike rates rather than cut, validating the continued upward trajectory of 10-year yields and higher bond volatility.
TLT
HIGH
Mar 21, 19:27
With the market abandoning hopes for a quick reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, crude oil prices are expected to surge due to ongoing supply blockages.
USO
MED
Mar 21, 19:27
The author argues that any official release of sanctioned Iranian oil will not be a new supply shock to the market, as this oil is already being sold via a "dark fleet," implying that news of a "market flood" is overblown and should not be a bearish catalyst for oil prices.
USO
MED
Mar 20, 13:18
Short oil (USO) when a significant number of ships resumes transit through the key chokepoint with their AIS transponders on, as this will signal a de-escalation of conflict and a removal of the geopolitical risk premium.
USO
MED
Mar 16, 22:13
The author presents a conditional short thesis on crude oil, expecting a drop to $90 by Monday if military operations show progress in securing the Strait of Hormuz.
USO
HIGH
Mar 13, 21:55
If Iran allows oil transit through the Strait of Hormuz, the geopolitical risk premium will evaporate, causing crude oil prices to drop significantly.
USO
MED
Mar 13, 15:17