Calls
2
Ashok Bhatia
Co-Chief Investment Officer and Global Head of Fixed Income, Neuberger Berman
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-7.4%
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 09
$96.75
-6.1%
"We think the bond market has this wrong. We don't think the ECB, Bank of England will be hiking. Bond markets should be thinking about more Fed easing, not less... Treasuries will work as a hedge on a significant economic slowdown." The market is currently pricing in sustained high rates due to the immediate inflationary shock of $100+ oil. However, this energy spike acts as a regressive tax that will crush consumer spending and trigger a broader economic slowdown. When growth stalls, central banks will be forced to cut rates, driving bond prices higher. Long US Treasuries as a hedge against an impending macro growth shock, fading the market's current "higher-for-longer" pricing. If inflation becomes structurally unanchored and the Fed is forced to hike rates despite a slowing economy (true stagflation), long-duration bonds will suffer severe drawdowns.
"We think the bond market has this wrong. We don't think the ECB, Bank of England will be hiking. Bond markets should be thinking about more Fed easing, not less... Treasuries will work as a hedge on a significant economic slowdown." The market is currently pricing in sustained high rates due to the immediate inflationary shock of $100+ oil. However, this energy spike acts as a regressive tax that will crush consumer spending and trigger a broader economic slowdown. When growth stalls, central banks will be forced to cut rates, driving bond prices higher. Long US Treasuries as a hedge against an impending macro growth shock, fading the market's current "higher-for-longer" pricing. If inflation becomes structurally unanchored and the Fed is forced to hike rates despite a slowing economy (true stagflation), long-duration bonds will suffer severe drawdowns.
Bonds & Rates
Long
Mar 09
$89.10
-8.8%
"We think the bond market has this wrong. We don't think the ECB, Bank of England will be hiking. Bond markets should be thinking about more Fed easing, not less... Treasuries will work as a hedge on a significant economic slowdown." The market is currently pricing in sustained high rates due to the immediate inflationary shock of $100+ oil. However, this energy spike acts as a regressive tax that will crush consumer spending and trigger a broader economic slowdown. When growth stalls, central banks will be forced to cut rates, driving bond prices higher. Long US Treasuries as a hedge against an impending macro growth shock, fading the market's current "higher-for-longer" pricing. If inflation becomes structurally unanchored and the Fed is forced to hike rates despite a slowing economy (true stagflation), long-duration bonds will suffer severe drawdowns.
"We think the bond market has this wrong. We don't think the ECB, Bank of England will be hiking. Bond markets should be thinking about more Fed easing, not less... Treasuries will work as a hedge on a significant economic slowdown." The market is currently pricing in sustained high rates due to the immediate inflationary shock of $100+ oil. However, this energy spike acts as a regressive tax that will crush consumer spending and trigger a broader economic slowdown. When growth stalls, central banks will be forced to cut rates, driving bond prices higher. Long US Treasuries as a hedge against an impending macro growth shock, fading the market's current "higher-for-longer" pricing. If inflation becomes structurally unanchored and the Fed is forced to hike rates despite a slowing economy (true stagflation), long-duration bonds will suffer severe drawdowns.
Bonds & Rates
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Ashok Bhatia has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: TLT, IEF, 10-YEAR U.S. TREASURY NOTE.
Historical call returns are modeled from recorded ideas and stored prices, not actual brokerage portfolio returns. Check the evaluated call set and horizon; past results do not establish future prediction accuracy. Explore our data and methodology
