Angelina Valavina

Head of Natural Resources & Commodities, Fitch Ratings
· tracked since Feb 2026
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
WTI short -74.4%
Most Mentioned
BNO ×2
Recent Calls
WTI short 3 months ago
Win Rate 0% Long 0 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 0%
90d 0%
Average Return -74.4% Long Return - Short Return -74.4%
Average Return
7d -7.8%
30d -40.2%
90d -69.3%
Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
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Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
WTI West Tex... West Texas Intermed...
Short
Feb 23
$80.90
-74.4%
Fitch forecasts $65/bbl oil. Global supply grew by 3 million bpd last year while demand only grew by 1 million bpd. OPEC+ has over 4 million bpd of spare capacity. The market is structurally oversupplied. Even with high geopolitical tension (Iran/US), the risk premium is "capped" because any disruption can be easily filled by the massive glut of spare capacity. SHORT WTI / BRENT. A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz (though Fitch deems this unlikely/temporary).
Fitch forecasts $65/bbl oil. Global supply grew by 3 million bpd last year while demand only grew by 1 million bpd. OPEC+ has over 4 million bpd of spare capacity. The market is structurally oversupplied. Even with high geopolitical tension (Iran/US), the risk premium is "capped" because any disruption can be easily filled by the massive glut of spare capacity. SHORT WTI / BRENT. A full closure of the Strait of Hormuz (though Fitch deems this unlikely/temporary).
Energy
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