#593 Alpha Score 43.7

Adam Parker

Head of Quantitative Research, Houlihan Lokey
· tracked since Apr 2026
593
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Alpha Score 43.7
Calls
9
Win Rate
44.4%
return
-2.3%
Calls 9 4 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 5
90d 6
Best Calls
XLE Long +5.6%
SMH Long +4.8%
XLV Long +3.4%
Worst Calls
MU Long -21.2%
IGV Short -8.9%
NVDA Long -2.1%
Most Mentioned
NVDA ×2
SPY ×1
SMH ×1
Recent Calls
XLU Long 2 weeks ago
MU Long 2 weeks ago
XLV Long 2 weeks ago
Win Rate 44% Long 8 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 56%
30d 50%
90d 67%
Average Return -2.3% Long Return -1.5% Short Return -8.9%
Average Return
7d -1.4%
30d +3.7%
90d +5.7%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 24
$200.31
-2.1%
Nvidia to $10 trillion by 2030.
Nvidia will reach a $10 trillion market cap by end of decade due to CUDA lock-in, 15% annual growth over 5 years, revenue at least doubling, massive cash flow, and difficulty for competitors to displace the platform.
AI Compute
Long
Jul 09
$1015.24
-21.2%
Micron is cheap with earnings upside.
Micron Technology (MU) appears undervalued, trading at 4-5x peak earnings and 10x normalized earnings after extensive simulation analysis, with significant upside to base and peak earnings over the next six months.
AI Memory
Long
Jul 09
$751.18
-1.6%
Earnings push S&P choppily higher.
Corporate earnings have been strong and likely to support a choppy but upward-trending US equity market for at least the next 6-12 months, even if price-to-earnings multiples contract somewhat.
Equity Indexes
Long
Jul 09
$54.94
+5.6%
Overweight energy for diversification and achievability.
Energy sector offers the cleanest rotation from crowded tech; using an XLE long position with a 50/65 collar (Aug 2026 expiry) creates an asymmetric risk profile that dampens volatility while retaining upside to the 52-week high.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 09
$45.14
+0.9%
AI power demand boosts utilities sector.
Power and utilities are a meaningful part of the AI revenue chain; the market is pricing in 2031 earnings potential, and traditional utilities, gas, oil, and nuclear should benefit from prolonged AI-driven power demand.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 09
$161.52
+3.4%
Healthcare is mispriced, diversifies from AI.
Healthcare sector is mispriced: market assigns near-zero probability of it being the top-performing sector in the next five years, but aging demographics and political unwillingness to cut spending suggest actual likelihood is 30-40%, plus it has low correlation to AI semis.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jun 22
$298.03
-1.8%
Small caps working as AI alternative.
Small caps are working because investors are looking for AI alternatives, and improving industrial and consumer data supports the rotation into the space.
Equity Indexes
Short
Apr 24
$84.15
-8.9%
Short software, long semiconductors trade.
The trend of being short software and long semiconductors will persist because software multiples have contracted but earnings will continue to miss as customers pressure pricing and AI spending shifts; semis are justified by massive earnings growth.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Apr 24
$499.01
+4.8%
Short software, long semiconductors trade.
The trend of being short software and long semiconductors will persist because software multiples have contracted but earnings will continue to miss as customers pressure pricing and AI spending shifts; semis are justified by massive earnings growth.
Thematic ETFs
Showing 9 of 9 calls · sorted by mentions

Adam Parker has 9 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since April 2026. Ranked #593 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: NVDA, SPY, SMH.