Best trades
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Pick return distribution
Live distribution of all picks with entry price. Right tail = home runs.
< -30%-30/-10-10/00/+20+20/+50+50/+100> +100%
Bottom 10%
-
Median
-
Top 10%
-
Average returns
first-opened thesis horizon: return + win-rate
7 days
73 eval.
+3.0%
L +3.0%
S -
Win rate
52%
30 days
17 eval.
+36.9%
L +36.9%
S -
Win rate
94%
90 days
0 eval.
-
L -
S -
Win rate
-
Computed from the first opened position per ticker/side.
180d ready when data exists
Ticker
Side
Theme
Entry
P&L
Thesis
First opened
Mentions
Source
Short
Other
$41.15
-
Short IQE as recent funding creates overhang, anticipating further price declines in the near term.
May 04
Short
NeoCloud
$119.30
-
Short CRWV due to crippling debt, negative ROIC-to-cost-of-debt spread, and inability to self-fund growth; operations cannot cover interest and amortization, forcing perpetual dilutive financing.
May 02
Long
AI/Semi
$99.33
-
Long ON following stellar earnings results, indicating continued operational strength and positive momentum.
Apr 29
Long
NatSec
$1133.40
-
Long Rolls-Royce for nuclear/SMR exposure in AI power and defense contracts, supported by new management.
Apr 28
Long
AI/Semi
$235.30
-
Long BESI as a European semi-equipment play with hybrid bonding for HBM4 and 3D logic, driven by hyperscaler orders.
Apr 28
Long
Photonics
$11.23
-
Long Nokia for its cloud infrastructure re-rating with triple-order growth from hyperscalers and EU defense contracts.
Apr 28
Long
Consumer
$433.02
-
Long Spotify for its dominant position in audio streaming, with potential AI-audio tailwinds despite near-term price weakness.
Apr 28
Long
AI/Semi
$52.80
-
Long Infineon as a diversified semiconductor play in power management for AI servers, EVs, and robotics, with strong AI segment growth.
Apr 28
Long
Other
$76.50
-
Long ABB for its exposure to AI-driven factory automation and humanoid robotics through electrification and motion portfolio.
Apr 28
Long
Energy
$270.90
-
Long Schneider Electric as the cleanest beneficiary of data center capex, with record backlog in switchgear and liquid-cooling infrastructure.
Apr 28
Long
AI/Semi
$49.81
-
Long STMicroelectronics for its leadership in analog, power, and MCUs driving edge-AI inference across humanoids, autos, and IoT.
Apr 28
Long
Other
$72.60
-
Long ASTS and RKLB as leading space sector plays behind SpaceX.
Apr 28
Long
Consumer
$1784.62
-
Long MELI as the Latin American e-commerce and fintech leader with strong network effects.
Apr 28
Long
Crypto
$75998.60
-
Long BTC as a speculative hold, though the author's reasoning is unclear.
Apr 28
Long
AI/Semi
$29.73
-
Long ASE as a primary OSAT beneficiary of TSM’s CoWoS overflow, with 60% advanced packaging revenue growth expected in 2026.
Apr 28
Long
AI/Semi
$29.01
-
Long SMCI as a high-conviction AI infrastructure play, driven by strong fundamentals, massive Blackwell backlog, discount due to DOJ overhang, and a clear Q3 earnings catalyst on May 5th.
Apr 27
Long
AI/Semi
$17.71
-
Long NVTS due to its existing partnership with GFS for gallium nitride production, positioning it in the US GaN market.
Apr 27
Long
Fintech
$84.71
-
Long HOOD expecting durable monetization and margin expansion from accelerating funded accounts and crypto revenue.
Apr 26
Long
AI/Semi
$418.08
-
Long TER on AI/SoC test strength dominating, with Q1 results and guide needing to show data center momentum.
Apr 26
Long
Energy
$231.17
-
Long BE on backlog conversion and AI-driven fuel-cell deployment, though execution slippage is a risk.
Apr 26
Long
Energy
$35.77
-
Long ENPH on a trough‑recovery narrative, contingent on U.S. solar rebound and EU normalization despite macro headwinds.
Apr 26
Long
AI/Semi
$675.03
-
Long META on ad revenue growth and AI‑driven ad efficacy proving the massive capex spend.
Apr 26
Long
Consumer
$263.99
-
Long AMZN on AWS re‑acceleration and custom silicon, with cloud margins critical for the capex thesis.
Apr 26
Long
AI/Semi
$148.85
-
Long QCOM on auto and AI/edge diversification offsetting handset and memory headwinds.
Apr 26
Long
Consumer
$271.06
-
Long AAPL on iPhone stabilization, services acceleration, and Apple Intelligence traction; China softness is an overhang.
Apr 26
Long
Photonics
$175.89
-
Long GLW on sustained optical growth and data center fiber demand, with margin stability as a key signal for earnings.
Apr 26
Long
Other
$38.66
-
Long DOW as a beneficiary of the Strait of Hormuz closure, leveraging backward integration, spare TX capacity, and structural cost edge for medium-term supply disruption tailwinds and long-term qualification waves.
Apr 26
Long
Other
$72.00
-
Long EMN as a pure-play semiconductor materials company with timely PGMEA capacity expansion, patent advantages, and faster qualification pipeline, benefiting from pricing power and customer shift away from Japanese suppliers.
Apr 26
Long
AI/Semi
$267.78
-
Long LRCX — leading etch/deposition tools essential for HBM vias and stacking yields; included in bullish hyperscaler-capex basket expected to compound while AI capex grows.
Apr 25
Long
AI/Semi
$1935.00
-
Long KLAC — process control/metrology leader enabling high-yield HBM at scale; ParadisLabs flags it as a 'safer' qualified hyperscaler-capex beneficiary.
Apr 25
Long
AI/Semi
$32.00
-
Long ASX — largest OSAT capturing majority of TSM WoS outsourcing for advanced packaging; named beneficiary in ParadisLabs's bullish AI-infra basket.
Apr 25
Long
AI/Semi
$78.10
-
Long AMKR — US capacity expansion winning TSM and NVDA spillover business; included in ParadisLabs's bullish hyperscaler-capex basket.
Apr 25
Long
AI/Semi
$307.86
-
Long ONTO — metrology leader for advanced packaging yield; named in ParadisLabs's bullish basket on hyperscaler capex tailwinds.
Apr 25
Long
Energy
$1149.19
-
Long GEV — transformer oligopoly with multi-year US manufacturing ramp for AI grid; ParadisLabs flags it as a safer qualified beneficiary of hyperscaler capex.
Apr 25
Long
Other
$423.92
-
Long ETN — transformers, switchgear and 800V DC solutions tailored for hyperscale AI loads; included in ParadisLabs's bullish AI infrastructure basket.
Apr 25
Long
AI/Semi
$323.46
-
Long VRT — integrated PDUs and rack power with $15B+ hyperscaler backlog; named beneficiary in ParadisLabs's bullish basket on $5.2T hyperscaler capex.
Apr 25
Long
Photonics
$336.09
-
Long COHR — 6-in wafer-scale optics leader with NVDA partnership for transceivers; included in ParadisLabs's bullish AI-infra basket.
Apr 25
Long
Photonics
$287.64
-
Long MTSI — lasers and analog components enabling photonic interconnects; named in ParadisLabs's bullish hyperscaler-capex basket.
Apr 25
Long
AI/Semi
$176.91
-
Long ANET — optical switches for hyperscaler data center fabrics; included in ParadisLabs's bullish AI-infra basket on $5.2T capex.
Apr 25
Long
Photonics
$520.80
-
Long CIEN — optical networking/transport with 1.6T leadership for AI DCI; named in ParadisLabs's bullish AI-infra basket.
Apr 25
Long
Photonics
$720.19
-
Long FN — contract manufacturer for optical transceivers; included in ParadisLabs's bullish hyperscaler-capex basket.
Apr 25
Long
Photonics
$47.75
-
Long VIAV — photonics test/measurement tools critical for optical component qualification; named in ParadisLabs's bullish AI-infra basket.
Apr 25
Long
Other
$839.00
-
Long CAT as a mining-related exposure, with the author currently holding it as their sole position in the space.
Apr 24
Long
AI/Semi
$340.83
-
Long GOOGL for its dominant data flywheel across search, agents, and cloud, driven by Gemini and YouTube.
Apr 24
Long
AI/Semi
$421.00
-
Long MSFT as a generational compounder with essential enterprise products like Excel, plus AI and cloud growth.
Apr 24
Long
AI/Semi
$13.66
-
Long TRT for asymmetric upside as a cheap play on burn-in and testing equipment, benefiting from strong AI/HBM testing tailwinds and a deep valuation discount vs. AEHR.
Apr 23
Long
AI/Semi
$67.35
-
Long INTC due to strong U.S. government support including a ~10% stake, a $3B Secure Enclave contract, over $11B in CHIPS Act funding, and a strategic partnership with TSLA/SpaceX for Terafab chip manufacturing, offsetting near-term revenue weakness.
Apr 22
Long
Photonics
$822.00
-
Long LITE as a company capitalizing on semiconductor supply chain bottlenecks, demonstrated by its strong YTD gains.
Apr 22
Long
AI/Semi
$1223000.00
-
Long SK Hynix as a memory semiconductor leader winning in supply chain chokepoints, indicated by its significant YTD performance.
Apr 22
Long
AI/Semi
$217500.00
-
Long Samsung Electronics as a key beneficiary of semiconductor supply chain bottlenecks, with solid YTD returns confirming its advantage.
Apr 22
Long
Healthcare
$28.12
-
Long HIMS because Amazon's entry into the GLP-1 market validates the underserved opportunity, and HIMS is positioned to win with its convenient, app-based model offering lower cash prices, no appointments, and sticky subscriptions.
Apr 21
Long
AI/Semi
$86.25
-
Long the software sector via IGV, as vertical and domain-specific SaaS companies with proprietary data will continue to thrive despite AI competition.
Apr 20
Long
AI/Semi
$186.56
-
Long CRM driven by strong traction in Agentforce, which boasts over 9,500 paid deals and a clear monetization model per autonomous action.
Apr 20
Long
AI/Semi
$99.83
-
Long NOW due to rapid growth in Now Assist, with annual contract value doubling year-over-year to over $600 million.
Apr 20
Long
AI/Semi
$248.77
-
Long ADBE as its massive scale of Firefly generations and strong IP indemnity provide a significant competitive moat in the AI space.
Apr 20
Long
AI/Semi
$145.60
-
Long PLTR supported by explosive growth in its US Commercial segment, which is up 137% year-over-year.
Apr 20
Long
Photonics
$22.60
-
Long M7U as European photonics experience a massive re-rating. The stock remains wildly undervalued given its strong technology and strategic positioning within the AIXA supply chain.
Apr 20
Long
Other
$3745.00
-
Long Unitika as a play on AI server upgrades and packaging substrate demand, with low-CTE glass cloth shortages and pricing tension providing extended visibility through 2028.
Apr 20
Long
Photonics
$12.30
-
Maintain long exposure to LPK. The widely covered bull thesis remains valid and intact, despite the existence of alternative bearish perspectives.
Apr 19
Long
Photonics
$14.14
-
Long ALRIB as a bullish play on the European technology sector, maintaining a core position despite acknowledging potential analytical downsides.
Apr 19
Long
AI/Semi
$43.25
-
Long VECO and AIXA as they utilize MOCVD production, which offers lower costs and better yield quality for mass producing QD lasers compared to MBE.
Apr 19
Long
AI/Semi
$44.30
-
Long VECO and AIXA as they utilize MOCVD production, which offers lower costs and better yield quality for mass producing QD lasers compared to MBE.
Apr 19
Long
Photonics
$11.35
-
Go long LPKF as it is mispriced as a legacy solar company despite owning the exclusive LIDE process required for next-generation glass substrate packaging by major ASIC designers.
Apr 17
Long
Other
$52.10
-
Go long IQE as the strategic divestment of its Taiwan operations clears regulatory hurdles, paving the way for a potential acquisition by a Western buyer.
Apr 17
Long
Photonics
$23.73
-
Buy Silicom to gain exposure to post-quantum cryptography following positive news of a customer selecting their FPGA SmartNIC.
Apr 16
Long
Other
$8510.00
-
Buy MEC Company due to its structural monopoly (>90% share) in supplying essential bonding chemistry that prevents substrate cracking in high-power AI GPUs, positioning it as a critical and leveraged beneficiary of AI hardware demand.
Apr 15
Long
AI/Semi
$1528.46
-
Buy ASML following strong Q1 earnings, raised FY2026 revenue guidance, and compelling High-NA ROI that drastically reduces process steps and eliminates cumulative yield loss for DRAM logic customers.
Apr 15
Long
Photonics
$45000.00
-
Buy OE Solutions for exposure to the shift from pluggable optics to co-packaged optics (CPO), where it is a critical bottleneck supplier alongside larger players like LITE and COHR but at a significantly lower market valuation.
Apr 15
Long
Fintech
$17.34
-
Go long SOFI based on expectations that the company's fundamental outlook will improve, overcoming current market prejudices.
Apr 14
Long
AI/Semi
$215.00
-
Buy Nanya Technology ahead of earnings as HBM production crowds out standard DRAM supply, driving massive contract price increases and likely strong Q2 ASP guidance.
Apr 12
Long
Energy
$64.64
-
Go long SOI due to its semi-monopolistic position and strong patent portfolio in the SOI wafers market, acting as a critical supply chain bottleneck.
Apr 12
Long
Photonics
$66.75
-
Long AXTI ahead of end-of-April earnings based on expected sequential revenue growth driven by AI infrastructure demand for indium phosphide.
Apr 10
Long
NatSec
$19.90
-
The author proposes a swing trade long in SPIR to front-run the anticipated SpaceX IPO, citing the company's recent strategic transformation and debt-free balance sheet.
Apr 08
Long
AI/Semi
$331.84
-
The new long-term deals with Google and Anthropic solidify AVGO's position as a co-architect for AI processors, invalidating the bear case of insourcing and signaling continued ASIC dominance.
Apr 07
Long
AI/Semi
$190.19
-
TSEM has built a dominant position in Silicon Photonics (SiPho), a critical technology for AI data transfer, evidenced by explosive revenue growth from $28M to a $380M annualized run rate.
Apr 05
Long
Photonics
$5.68
-
Despite a large headline loss, POET's actual cash burn is manageable given its strong cash position.
Mar 31
Long
AI/Semi
$96.26
-
Nvidia's strategic investment in Marvell's silicon photonics technology is expected to drive significant growth for both companies and Sivers Semiconductors.
Mar 31
Long
AI/Semi
$316.44
-
Citi raised its price target for TSM and issued significantly higher long-term earnings estimates than consensus.
Mar 30
Long
AI/Semi
$569.05
-
SanDisk is experiencing a fundamental business transformation driven by a shift toward high-margin AI data center and enterprise SSD products.
Mar 30
Long
NatSec
$57.58
-
Rocket Lab is acquiring Mynaric to vertically integrate its supply chain for key government contracts.
Mar 30
Long
NatSec
$4.97
-
SATL is positioned to benefit from capital inflows into the space sector ahead of the anticipated SpaceX IPO.
Mar 30
Long
AI/Semi
$136.96
-
The Cambridge deep tech ecosystem is highlighted as a highly undervalued hub with significant growth potential across various sectors.
Mar 29
Long
Other
$292.20
-
The Cambridge deep tech ecosystem is highlighted as a highly undervalued hub with significant growth potential across various sectors.
Mar 29
Long
AI/Semi
$10.00
-
Sivers Semiconductors presents a favorable risk-reward profile due to its critical role in solving AI GPU interconnect challenges with InP lasers.
Mar 29
Long
AI/Semi
$356.90
-
Micron is undervalued with significant EPS revisions and increased capital expenditure guidance.
Mar 26
Long
Other
$6.00
-
CVD Equipment is positioned for growth through its specialized manufacturing tools for advanced materials like SiC crystals and aerospace composites.
Mar 25
Long
Photonics
$108.48
-
The tweet highlights upcoming positive catalysts for AAOI based on expert analysis.
Mar 24
Long
NeoCloud
$115.80
-
The author projects massive growth for NBIS, predicting it will become a $100B company within three years due to rapid ARR expansion in the AI compute sector.
Mar 24
Long
AI/Semi
$175.89
-
The author emphasizes that NVDA's price action is driven by fundamental catalysts like earnings beats rather than technical analysis.
Mar 24
Long
AI/Semi
$934000.00
-
SK Hynix is raising significant capital to aggressively expand HBM production and infrastructure.
Mar 23
Long
Consumer
$140.96
-
Reddit shows strong financial growth with record ad revenue and GAAP profitability, justifying a bullish outlook after a significant price decline.
Mar 21
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