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Feb 19
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$79.40
$79.40
+0.0%
|
LONG
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@unusual_whales
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The potential for a US strike on Iran as early as this weekend introduces significant geopolitical risk, which typically drives up oil prices and creates uncertainty, leading to a broad market downturn. |
@unusual_whales
BREAKING: The US is prepared to strike Iran a...
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Feb 18
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$79.40
$79.40
+0.0%
|
LONG
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@FirstSquawk
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Oil prices are holding near recent highs above $65 due to elevated supply fears stemming from Iran conflict risks and uncertain nuclear talks, suggesting continued upward price pressure. |
@unusual_whales
$META has not announced the feature fully.
R...
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Feb 18
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$79.40
$79.40
+0.0%
|
LONG
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@geiger_capital
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Increased geopolitical tension and the high probability of a US strike on Iran by March 15 suggest a potential rise in oil prices and increased demand for defense stocks. |
@geiger_capital
Odds that the US will strike Iran by March 15...
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Feb 18
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$79.40
$79.40
+0.0%
|
LONG
|
Raja Krishnamoorthi
Congressman (D-IL), Member of House Intelligence Committee & China Select Committee
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"I'm concerned that we're gonna potentially end up in another war in The Middle East... President Trump authorize the use of force in Iran." The Congressman highlights a high probability of kinetic action against Iran. Any military escalation in this region historically threatens the Strait of Hormuz and oil infrastructure, necessitating a geopolitical risk premium on energy prices. Long Energy (XLE) and Oil (USO) as a hedge against supply shocks and war risk. Diplomatic de-escalation or US energy production offsetting global supply fears. |
Bloomberg Markets
Will Congress Be Warned If Trump Attacks Iran...
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Feb 17
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|
$75.73
$79.40
+4.8%
|
LONG
|
Joe Kernen
Co-Anchor, Squawk Box
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"The US military is preparing for an operation against Iran that could last weeks." Explicit confirmation of upcoming military operations in the Middle East is a direct catalyst for Defense stocks (replenishment/usage) and Energy (risk premium on oil supply disruption). LONG Defense and Energy sectors. Diplomatic resolution or limited scope of conflict. |
CNBC
Squawk Pod: The Legacy of Reverend Jesse Jack...
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|
Feb 17
|
|
$75.73
$79.40
+4.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - USO
Iran Has Shut Down Hormuz Strait For A Few Ho...
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|
Feb 17
|
|
$75.73
$79.40
+4.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - USO
Iran's President Says Tehran Will Never Aband...
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|
Feb 17
|
|
$75.73
$79.40
+4.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - USO
'Guyana Plans New Gas Project 'Very Soon' to ...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$75.73
$79.40
+4.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - USO
Oil is trading lower after Iran's Foreign Min...
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|
Feb 17
|
|
$75.73
$79.40
+4.8%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - USO
Crude Futures Fall After Iran's Press TV Cite...
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Feb 16
|
|
$76.22
$79.40
+4.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - USO
Commodities: Further U.S.-Iran Talks Set For ...
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Feb 15
|
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$76.22
$79.40
+4.2%
|
NEUTRAL
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Marco Rubio
Secretary of State
|
Rubio confirms the deployment of a second carrier group to the Middle East to deter Iran but simultaneously states the President's "preference is to reach a deal" and that envoys are meeting to try and solve this. The signal is mixed. The military buildup supports a geopolitical risk premium in oil, but the explicit desire for a diplomatic "deal" acts as a ceiling on that premium. Without a clear commitment to escalation or a definitive peace, the energy trade lacks a strong directional catalyst from this specific interview. NEUTRAL on energy until the "deal" talks either succeed (Bearish Oil) or fail (Bullish Oil). Miscalculation by Iran leads to a kinetic war despite US desire for a deal. |
Bloomberg Markets
Rubio Says US Wants Europe to Prosper, Allian...
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Feb 15
|
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$76.22
$79.40
+4.2%
|
SHORT
|
Marco Rubio
Secretary of State
|
"The president has said that his preference is to reach a deal with Iran... Steve Witkoff and Jared have some meetings lined up." Oil markets currently price in a "Geopolitical Risk Premium" based on fears of US-Iran conflict disrupting the Strait of Hormuz. Rubio's confirmation of a pivot toward diplomacy and active de-escalation removes this immediate fear. Furthermore, a potential deal implies the normalization of Iranian oil exports, which would increase global supply and depress prices. SHORT Oil and Energy assets as the "War Premium" unwinds. Negotiations collapse, leading to immediate kinetic escalation; Iran strikes US assets to gain leverage. |
Bloomberg Markets
Rubio Says Trump's Preference Is to Reach Dea...
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Feb 13
|
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$76.22
$79.40
+4.2%
|
SHORT
|
CME Group
Narrator
|
"Supply from Guyana, Canada, and Brazil is surging. OPEC Plus faces a tough choice. Lower output or lower oil prices." The market is facing a classic oversupply shock from non-OPEC sources. If OPEC+ does not cut output further (sacrificing more market share), the natural economic release valve is lower prices to clear the market. SHORT. The "Oil Balancing Act" is skewed toward downside price pressure due to the surge in new supply. A surprise geopolitical escalation or an unexpected, aggressive production cut by OPEC+. |
Bloomberg Markets
Five Trends That Will Drive Energy Markets in...
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|
Feb 13
|
|
$76.22
$79.40
+4.2%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - USO
Bloomberg Reported Some OPEC+ Nations See Sco...
|