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Feb 18
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$68.33
$68.33
+0.0%
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LONG
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Thread Guy
Crypto influencer, independent
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The speaker notes that "4 out of the top 5 AI models by global usage are Chinese," BYD sold 50% more EVs than Tesla, and Chinese consumer apps (TikTok, games) dominate culture. The market consensus is that China merely "steals" IP, but the data shows genuine technical breakthroughs and superior unit economics (Minimax is 20x cheaper than US counterparts). As China dominates both "Atoms" (manufacturing) and "Bits" (AI/Apps), their equity valuations are disconnected from their actual dominance. LONG Chinese tech and manufacturing leaders as they capture global market share in EVs, AI, and culture ("Chinamaxxing"). Geopolitical sanctions; US trade barriers blocking Chinese products. |
Thread Guy
It's Time To Start Chinamaxxing..
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Feb 18
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$68.33
$68.33
+0.0%
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LONG
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Mitchell Green
Founder of Lead Edge Capital
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Green points out that Chinese tech giants like Alibaba and Tencent have doubled off their lows but remain cheap, generating billions in profit. The geopolitical discount is too steep. The US and China will likely find a way to coexist ("One plus one equals four"), and these companies are dominant monopolies trading at value multiples. LONG. A contrarian value play against the expensive US tech sector. Geopolitical tensions escalating or further regulatory crackdowns from Beijing. |
Bloomberg Markets
Bloomberg Surveillance 2/18/2026
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Feb 16
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$68.28
$68.33
+0.1%
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AVOID
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Catherine Lim
Senior Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
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Chinese tech firms are pouring over 10 billion in incentives/subsidies into the market for the Lunar New Year. Companies are issuing profit warnings. While this boosts top-line consumption data for the holiday, it is a "cash burn" strategy to defend market share against new entrants. This directly erodes margins and profitability in the near term. AVOID (Margin compression risk outweighs temporary revenue bump). Consumption recovery is stronger/stickier than expected, driving volume that offsets margin pressure. |
Bloomberg Markets
Japan Posts Anemic Growth as Takaichi Eyes Sp...
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Feb 15
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$68.28
$68.33
+0.1%
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WATCH
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Nat
Reporter
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"Tencent... has already been designated by the Pentagon on the list a year ago. And you'll remember we saw shares... fall precipitously." Tencent serves as the historical playbook for how the market reacts to the 1260H list. It is the lead indicator for sentiment in the sector regarding military affiliation. WATCH. Use TCEHY's price action as a gauge for how much "military risk" is already priced into the broader Chinese tech sector versus how much is specific to the new additions (BABA/BIDU). Sector-wide sell-off could drag TCEHY down in sympathy, even though it was already listed. |
Bloomberg Markets
US Briefly Names Alibaba, Baidu as Firms Aidi...
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Feb 13
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$68.28
$68.33
+0.1%
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AVOID
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Lanting Tu
Managing Editor for Asia Equities, Bloomberg
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Tencent is down 22% off highs and its 14-day RSI is at 26 (oversold). Investors perceive Tencent as "missing" from the AI conversation compared to peers like Zhipu or Alibaba. Tencent is engaging in subsidy wars (red packets) to gain users, which investors fear will compress margins without the upside of a clear AI strategy. AVOID. Capital is rotating out of legacy consumer internet stocks into hardware and new AI pure-plays. The stock is technically oversold (RSI 26), which could trigger a mean-reversion bounce. |
Bloomberg Markets
Chinese Stocks Can't Wait for Holiday Break, ...
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Feb 12
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$67.37
$68.33
+1.4%
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N/A
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Finnhub News
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— |
Finnhub - TCEHY
Chinese platforms like Xiaohongshu look to So...
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Feb 10
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$70.68
$68.33
-3.3%
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LONG
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Deirdre Bosa
Anchor/Reporter, CNBC Tech Check
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"In China, breakthroughs are being priced exactly the opposite as an opportunity." A new video model from ByteDance fueled a rally in media and gaming stocks, whereas similar news from Google caused a sell-off in the US. Investors in China view AI as a supply-side enabler that lowers content creation costs (CAPEX reduction) for gaming and media giants, rather than a competitive threat that replaces the companies themselves. Contrarian Long. The market is rewarding Chinese tech for AI integration, creating a divergence trade against US counterparts. Regulatory crackdowns by the CCP or US sanctions on chip hardware slowing down model development. |
CNBC
U.S. vs. China AI spending gap widens
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