OPEC influence wanes as members exit.
OPEC and OPEC+ are losing members and supply control, with Venezuela potentially leaving and the UAE already gone. Saudi Arabia is losing influence and may drastically increase production, while rising US shale output and exports reduce the cartel's ability to push oil markets in its preferred direction.
US shale influence is increasing.
The US is a large and rising oil and gas producer because of the shale boom, US oil and product exports have helped fill supply gaps after the Middle East crisis, and Washington may take a stake in Venezuela, increasing US energy influence.