Full Port Microsoft - Undervalued!

=== SUMMARY === - The post argues Microsoft (MSFT) is undervalued after a 0% return since Jan 2024 vs. Alphabet's 158% and Amazon's 58% gains; a P/E of 22 is near its 10-year low. - The author’s thesis leans on Azure growth, OpenAI's cloud obligation, and high CapEx being a catalyst rather than a risk. He has bought LEAPS and plans to add more. - Quality: Speculation backed by basic valuation comps and qualitative AI/cloud tailwinds, but lacks granular financial modeling. Not deep DD, but reasoned conviction. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === MSFT - LONG | confidence: 0.85 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/479298 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MSFT P/E of 22 is at the bottom of its 10-year range; stock has returned 0% since Jan 2024 while peers surged 58–158%. High CapEx on Azure/OpenAI is a long-term growth driver. 2. THE BRIDGE: Extreme relative underperformance and depressed valuation create a mean-reversion opportunity as Azure revenue and AI adoption accelerate. 3. THE VERDICT: Author is buying LEAPS repeatedly, betting that current pricing ignores durable competitive advantages and future earnings growth. 4. RISKS: Broader market correction (commenter warns of 7–10% drawdown taking MSFT to 300–320); CapEx overshoot if Azure growth disappoints; regulatory or competitive pressure on OpenAI relationship. Timeframe: medium-term (LEAPS 1–2 years) Key Points: - P/E at 10-year low vs historical 30-35 avg - 0% return vs 158% for GOOGL / 58% AMZN - Azure & OpenAI cloud lock-in catalyst - Author buying dips via LEAPS repeatedly - Risk: market correction to 300-320 per comments === COMMENTS SUMMARY === The community is largely sarcastic, noting MSFT is a frequent topic on the sub (top comment: “First time I hear about this company”). One user provides a counterpoint: with markets at ATH and MSFT falling, a 7–10% correction could push the stock to $300–$320, suggesting a better entry later. Overall, the comments reinforce the stock’s popularity while injecting skepticism