u/479298

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jun 2026
Calls 1 2 Posts tracked · 0.5/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 1
90d 1
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MSFT long +0.2%
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No live losers yet
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MSFT ×2
Recent Calls
MSFT long 3 days ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
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Average Return +0.2% Long Return +0.2% Short Return -
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MSFT Microsof... Microsoft Corporation
Long
Jun 17
$378.77
+0.2%
MSFT P/E of 22 is at the bottom of its 10-year range; stock has returned 0% since Jan 2024 while peers surged 58–158%. High CapEx on Azure/OpenAI is a long-term growth driver. Extreme relative underperformance and depressed valuation create a mean-reversion opportunity as Azure revenue and AI adoption accelerate. Author is buying LEAPS repeatedly, betting that current pricing ignores durable competitive advantages and future earnings growth. Broader market correction (commenter warns of 7–10% drawdown taking MSFT to 300–320); CapEx overshoot if Azure growth disappoints; regulatory or competitive pressure on OpenAI relationship.
MSFT P/E of 22 is at the bottom of its 10-year range; stock has returned 0% since Jan 2024 while peers surged 58–158%. High CapEx on Azure/OpenAI is a long-term growth driver. Extreme relative underperformance and depressed valuation create a mean-reversion opportunity as Azure revenue and AI adoption accelerate. Author is buying LEAPS repeatedly, betting that current pricing ignores durable competitive advantages and future earnings growth. Broader market correction (commenter warns of 7–10% drawdown taking MSFT to 300–320); CapEx overshoot if Azure growth disappoints; regulatory or competitive pressure on OpenAI relationship.
AI/Semi
REDDIT
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u/479298 has 1 trade idea tracked on Buzzberg across 1 ticker since June 2026. Most covered: MSFT.