=== SUMMARY ===
- The post reports on a Bloomberg article where US Interior Secretary Doug Burgum states the Trump administration has discussed intervening in oil futures markets to curb surging prices.
- The context is a hypothetical conflict in Iran in March 2026, which has blocked the Strait of Hormuz and caused crude oil prices to spike over 40%.
- Quality assessment: This is speculation based on a news report of a government official's comments. It is not deep-dive due diligence (DD) but rather a catalyst-driven discussion.
=== SENTIMENT ===
MIXED
=== TRADE IDEAS ===
TICKER - DIRECTION | confidence: 0.60 | sentiment: -0.70
Speaker: u/jetbridgejesus
Thesis:
1. THE FACT: The US government has discussed intervening in the oil futures market to "curb surging crude prices."
2. THE BRIDGE: Government intervention would likely involve selling (shorting) oil futures in large quantities to artificially increase supply in the paper market, thereby pushing prices down.
3. THE VERDICT: The potential for massive, state-sponsored selling pressure on oil futures creates a significant headwind for crude prices, making a short position attractive.
4. RISKS: The government may not act, the intervention could be smaller than expected, or the physical market tightness from the conflict could overwhelm any selling pressure, leading to a short squeeze.
Timeframe: short-term
Key Points:
- US officials discussed trading oil futures to lower prices.
- Intervention would require "enormous amounts of capital."
- This is being considered due to a 40% price surge.
- The action is not confirmed, only discussed.
=== COMMENTS SUMMARY ===
The community reaction is highly skeptical and cynical, with many commenters believing the government is either incompetent or already manipulating the market. Several users suggest the government's attempt to short oil will fail spectacularly and could lead to a short squeeze, while others joke about the potential for insider trading and market integrity
Оценка232
Комментарии140
% апвоутов98%
▶ Полный текст поста
Per bloomberg
The Trump administration has discussed trading in the oil futures market as a strategy to help curb surging crude prices amid the war in Iran, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said.
Burgum, however, said he wasn’t aware whether the US had actually intervened in the market at this point.
“I would say there has been a discussion. We have a lot of smart people working in this administration — a lot of smart people work in the energy trading market,” Burgum said during an interview with Bloomberg Television in Tokyo on Saturday. “An intervention to try to manipulate and lower prices would require enormous amounts of capital. That is all I will say on that front.”
His comments come as US and Israeli attacks on Iran continue to upend the global energy landscape, trapping millions of barrels of oil in the Persian Gulf, with the Strait of Hormuz effectively blocked.
Global crude futures have surged more than 40% in the nearly two weeks since the conflict began, driving US gasoline prices to their highest level in 22 months.
Burgum, who is in Tokyo ahead of Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s March 19 visit to Washington, will attend the first-ever US-sponsored Indo-Pacific Energy Security Ministerial and Business Forum this weekend. The event comes as the White House pushes to reduce US dependence on China and diversify supply chains for critical minerals used in mobile phones, batteries and other products.
Read More: [Asia Set to Pledge $30 Billion in Energy, Mineral Deals With US](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-13/asia-set-to-pledge-30-billion-in-energy-mineral-deals-with-us)
Separately, Burgum said that while it’s been discussed, any kind of Treasury intervention is lower on the administration’s list of possible moves to mitigate the surge in oil prices, below other options. He declined to specify what those other possibilities might be.