Michael McKee — Корреспондент по международной экономике и политике, Bloomberg
US July retail sales fell 0.6% versus expectations for a 0.1% gain, but the details suggest one-off factors drove the drop. BofA's Aditya Bhave says the data does not change the bank's 75 basis-point Fed rate hike call and views July as a blip. Bloomberg's Michael McKee notes spending shifted among categories rather than collapsing, which may support the case for the Fed to hold rates.
- July headline US retail sales fell 0.6% versus a 0.1% gain forecast.
- The retail control group fell 0.4% and June was revised lower.
- Weakness was concentrated in autos, gas stations and non-store retailers.
- Clothing and other categories rose, suggesting a spending mix shift.
- Aditya Bhave says early August card data shows spending back near May/June strength.
- BofA keeps its call for 75 basis points of Fed rate hikes this year.
- Markets showed positive equity futures and lower Treasury yields.
The disappointing July retail sales report, including a weak control group, may add to Wall Street's case for the Fed to hold rates. However, the details show spending was mostly shifted across categories rather than collapsing, with autos, gas stations and non-store retail weak while other categories rose.
This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 14, 2026,
features Aditya Bhave
discussing Federal Funds Rate.
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