Спикеры
Stephen Byrd
— Глобальный руководитель исследований тематического и устойчивого развития, Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley's Stephen Byrd argues that the AI infrastructure stock selloff is due to technical factors, not weakening fundamentals, and that enterprise AI spending, efficiency-driven compute demand, and manageable power constraints support continued long-term growth.
- The selloff in AI infrastructure stocks reflects profit taking, crowded positioning, and forced selling rather than deteriorating fundamentals.
- Enterprise AI spending is poised to increase due to compelling cost savings, with tasks costing $2-5 to execute saving enterprises around $55.
- Efficiency improvements from competitive models, including Chinese ones, are likely to boost overall compute demand through Jevon's paradox.
- Hyperscalers could quadruple available power capacity to ~120 GW by 2028, underscoring massive expected growth in demand.
- Data center power constraints are real but can be mitigated by on-site generation, fuel cells, energy storage, natural gas turbines, and site conversions.
- The underlying fundamentals for AI infrastructure remain strong, supporting continued investment.