Warsh Signals Inflation Progress | Open Interest 7/1/2026
Спикеры
Shana Sissel
— Основатель и CEO, Banrion Capital Management
Mandeep Singh
— Старший аналитик, Bloomberg Intelligence
Zoë Yujnovich
— CEO, National Grid
Kevin Warsh
— Председатель ФРС
Isabelle Lee
— Репортер, Bloomberg
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, speaking at the ECB Forum in Sintra, reiterated a strict refusal to provide forward guidance while noting that inflation expectations have eased. Central bank panelists including Lagarde, Bailey, and Macklem discussed diverging policy paths, the dual impact of AI on inflation and productivity, and financial stability risks from leverage. Meanwhile, Shana Sissel positioned for rising volatility with alternatives, Mandeep Singh viewed Meta’s cloud pivot negatively, and National Grid CEO Zoë Yujnovich touted a de-risked AI power investment backed by Microsoft.
- Fed Chair Kevin Warsh firmly rejects forward guidance, says inflation expectations have eased but the path to 2% remains data-dependent.
- ECB President Christine Lagarde sees risks to inflation and growth as more balanced, notes oil price decline giving some breathing room.
- BOE Governor Andrew Bailey highlights a softening UK economy and delayed energy price effects, keeping rates on hold.
- Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem describes a weak economy with above-target inflation but anchored expectations, no stagflation.
- Shana Sissel of Banrion Capital Management recommends diversifying into managed futures, long/short equity, market neutral, commodities, and trend volatility to hedge rising volatility.
- Bloomberg Intelligence's Mandeep Singh interprets Meta's cloud compute pivot as a negative signal for the stock.
- National Grid CEO confirms a $1.75B US AI power investment with a firm Microsoft PPA, strengthening the company's growth story.
- Michael Burry's short positions in Caterpillar, Nvidia, and Tesla were noted, while oil prices fell on positive Iran-US technical talks.
Идеи
Add alternatives to hedge rising volatility
With Fed Chair Warsh signaling no forward guidance and potential for rising volatility through 2026-2027, Shana Sissel recommends adding diversifying alternatives such as managed futures, long/short equity, market neutral, commodities, and trend volatility strategies to mitigate portfolio volatility. These can now be accessed via ETFs and interval funds, moving away from gate-kept structures, and are expected to maintain strong absolute returns while reducing drawdowns.
Meta cloud pivot is a negative signal
Meta's announcement of a cloud business selling excess compute is a slight negative. It signals that Meta has failed to build a frontier AI model and is pivoting to the crowded compute-rental market. The market for renting compute is becoming very competitive, and this move suggests the company's agentic AI product rollout is not materialising, which could pressure the stock.
National Grid AI investment is contract-backed and solid
National Grid's $1.75 billion investment in a US AI power firm is underpinned by a firm power purchase agreement with Microsoft, making it a non-speculative, contract-backed project. This adds to a solid five-year investment plan of $90-95 billion, with about 40% allocated to the US Northeast. The AI-driven surge in electricity demand provides a long-term growth engine, de-risking National Grid's future earnings while leveraging existing jurisdictional capabilities.
Далее
This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 01, 2026, features Shana Sissel, Mandeep Singh, Zoë Yujnovich discussing Managed Futures, Market Neutral, Long/Short Equity, DBC, Trend Volatility, META, NGG. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers: Shana Sissel, Mandeep Singh, Zoë Yujnovich · Tickers: Managed Futures, Market Neutral, Long/Short Equity, DBC, Trend Volatility, META, NGG