Shana Sissel
Founder and CEO, Banrion Capital Management
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Mar 09
$10.96
-23.8%
"I'm not touching anything that is highly sensitive to the price of oil right now... I will not be dipping my toes into the travel sector." With oil prices spiking above $100, jet fuel and marine fuel costs will severely compress operating margins for airlines and cruise operators. Simultaneously, a squeezed consumer paying higher prices at the pump will reduce discretionary travel spending. SHORT. The fundamental cost structure of these businesses is broken under triple-digit oil, and they are already entering a technical bear market (down 22% from peaks). A rapid end to the Middle East conflict would crash oil prices, sparking a massive short-covering rally in heavily beaten-down travel stocks.
"I'm not touching anything that is highly sensitive to the price of oil right now... I will not be dipping my toes into the travel sector." With oil prices spiking above $100, jet fuel and marine fuel costs will severely compress operating margins for airlines and cruise operators. Simultaneously, a squeezed consumer paying higher prices at the pump will reduce discretionary travel spending. SHORT. The fundamental cost structure of these businesses is broken under triple-digit oil, and they are already entering a technical bear market (down 22% from peaks). A rapid end to the Middle East conflict would crash oil prices, sparking a massive short-covering rally in heavily beaten-down travel stocks.
Other
Short
Mar 09
$25.20
-7.8%
"I'm not touching anything that is highly sensitive to the price of oil right now... I will not be dipping my toes into the travel sector." With oil prices spiking above $100, jet fuel and marine fuel costs will severely compress operating margins for airlines and cruise operators. Simultaneously, a squeezed consumer paying higher prices at the pump will reduce discretionary travel spending. SHORT. The fundamental cost structure of these businesses is broken under triple-digit oil, and they are already entering a technical bear market (down 22% from peaks). A rapid end to the Middle East conflict would crash oil prices, sparking a massive short-covering rally in heavily beaten-down travel stocks.
"I'm not touching anything that is highly sensitive to the price of oil right now... I will not be dipping my toes into the travel sector." With oil prices spiking above $100, jet fuel and marine fuel costs will severely compress operating margins for airlines and cruise operators. Simultaneously, a squeezed consumer paying higher prices at the pump will reduce discretionary travel spending. SHORT. The fundamental cost structure of these businesses is broken under triple-digit oil, and they are already entering a technical bear market (down 22% from peaks). A rapid end to the Middle East conflict would crash oil prices, sparking a massive short-covering rally in heavily beaten-down travel stocks.
Consumer
Short
Mar 09
$19.91
+8.9%
"I'm not touching anything that is highly sensitive to the price of oil right now... I will not be dipping my toes into the travel sector." With oil prices spiking above $100, jet fuel and marine fuel costs will severely compress operating margins for airlines and cruise operators. Simultaneously, a squeezed consumer paying higher prices at the pump will reduce discretionary travel spending. SHORT. The fundamental cost structure of these businesses is broken under triple-digit oil, and they are already entering a technical bear market (down 22% from peaks). A rapid end to the Middle East conflict would crash oil prices, sparking a massive short-covering rally in heavily beaten-down travel stocks.
"I'm not touching anything that is highly sensitive to the price of oil right now... I will not be dipping my toes into the travel sector." With oil prices spiking above $100, jet fuel and marine fuel costs will severely compress operating margins for airlines and cruise operators. Simultaneously, a squeezed consumer paying higher prices at the pump will reduce discretionary travel spending. SHORT. The fundamental cost structure of these businesses is broken under triple-digit oil, and they are already entering a technical bear market (down 22% from peaks). A rapid end to the Middle East conflict would crash oil prices, sparking a massive short-covering rally in heavily beaten-down travel stocks.
Consumer
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