Buzzberg Cup Live

Kevin Warsh

Federal Reserve Chairman
· tracked since Jun 2026
Calls
3
Win Rate
33.3%
return
+0.5%
Calls 3 6 Posts tracked · 0.2/day
Calls
7d 2
30d 2
90d 3
Best Calls
XLE Long +5.6%
Worst Calls
SMH Long -3.6%
TLT Short -0.5%
Most Mentioned
XLE ×3
SMH ×1
TLT ×1
Recent Calls
SMH Long 4 days ago
XLE Long 5 days ago
TLT Short 5 days ago
Win Rate 33% Long 2 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 100%
90d
Average Return +0.5% Long Return +1.0% Short Return -0.5%
Average Return
7d -2.1%
30d +5.4%
90d
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 17
$54.74
+5.6%
US wins from AI
The United States is a winner from the AI revolution, which will boost productivity and make the economy better off in the long term.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jul 15
$576.06
-3.6%
Chip prices rising on AI demand shock
AI infrastructure build-out is causing a demand shock that is already visible in rising capital investment and specifically in higher chip prices, presenting a near-term opportunity as prices increase before supply responds.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Jul 14
$84.10
-0.5%
Fed balance sheet reform may lift yields.
The Fed's balance sheet policy should be reformed. In normal times, the Fed should be a price taker, not a price maker, and he is inclined to move toward a regime that reduces the Fed's large holdings of long-term Treasuries and MBS. This implies less artificial demand, potentially pushing long-term yields higher over time.
Bonds & Rates
Showing 3 of 3 calls · sorted by mentions

Kevin Warsh has 3 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 3 tickers since June 2026. Most covered: XLE, SMH, TLT.