Директор по инструментам с фиксированной доходностью, Richard Bernstein Advisors
·отслеживается с фев 2026
459
BUZZBERGЛидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить.Читать FAQ
Earnings estimate revision ratios remain strong globally, including in emerging markets. The economy entered the conflict from a healthy position, and earnings are delivering. There is a broadening of market leadership beyond just U.S. tech.
Maintain cyclical international and sector tilts for upside.
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
Maintain cyclical international and sector tilts for upside.
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
Maintain cyclical international and sector tilts for upside.
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
International equities offer a compelling trifecta of strong valuations, easier liquidity from central banks, and accelerated earnings growth, making them attractive as capital is scarcer there compared to the US.
The AI capex boom resembles the late-1990s internet buildout, with massive spending on data centers and infrastructure assuming peak innovation, while utilization is unknown and returns may not justify the investment. The market is only starting to price this risk, and the current selloff could be more sustainable.
Переходите от американских чипов к мировым акциям.
Капитал концентрировался в американских технологиях и чипах, но мировая экономика демонстрирует устойчивость, а рост прибыли ускоряется в Европе, Японии, на развивающихся рынках и в Китае. Рынки должны расширяться, при этом клиентские аллокации будут смещаться от чипов к остальным мировым акциям.
Переходите от американских чипов к мировым акциям.
Капитал концентрировался в американских технологиях и чипах, но мировая экономика демонстрирует устойчивость, а рост прибыли ускоряется в Европе, Японии, на развивающихся рынках и в Китае. Рынки должны расширяться, при этом клиентские аллокации будут смещаться от чипов к остальным мировым акциям.
Earnings estimate revision ratios remain strong globally, including in emerging markets. The economy entered the conflict from a healthy position, and earnings are delivering. There is a broadening of market leadership beyond just U.S. tech.
Maintain cyclical international and sector tilts for upside.
We maintain overweight positions in cyclical international markets, emerging markets ex China, and U.S. sectors like industrials, energy, and materials, based on the view that the macro outlook hasn't significantly deteriorated and these positions will benefit if the Middle East conflict resolves, as the landscape from January and February could reemerge.
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
Contopoulos advises investors to be "Overweight shorter-duration assets, companies that pay dividends, value." With the 10-Year yield rising (prices falling) due to war-induced inflation, long-duration assets get crushed. Short duration (SHV) removes interest rate risk. Dividend growers (VIG) provide equity exposure with a cash-flow buffer that acts as an inflation hedge, unlike speculative growth stocks which rely on distant future cash flows. LONG Short-Duration Cash & Dividend Growth. Yields plummeting (bond rally) would cause short-duration cash to underperform long-duration bonds.
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
"Profit growth throughout the world is quite strong... I'd rather own an area of the market that is growing earnings from 2% to 5% to 10% than own something with 12% steady state [US Tech]." The US market is priced for perfection with declining growth rates. International markets (Europe, Japan, EM ex-China) are seeing *accelerating* earnings growth and trade at cheaper valuations. The "Great Rotation" is driven by a search for accelerating fundamentals, not just value. LONG International Equities (specifically Europe, Japan, and EM ex-China). A sudden resurgence in US Tech earnings growth or a global recession dampening cyclical recovery.
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У Michael Contopoulos на Buzzberg отслеживается 14 торговых идей по 14 тикерам с февраля 2026. #459 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: EMXC, XLI, EEM.
#459Рейтинговый спикер
#459 из 1785 голосов в Buzzberg