#557 Альфа-оценка 56.4

Mark Cranfield

Стратег по кросс-активам, Bloomberg
@MarkCCranfield · отслеживается с фев 2026
557
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 56.4
Сигналы
21
Винрейт
57.1%
доходность
+1.9%
Сигналы 21 68 Постов отслежено · 0.3/день
Сигналы
0
30д 6
90д 15
Лучшие сигналы
000660.KS Шорт +35.9%
005930.KS Шорт +21.1%
EWY Шорт +14.7%
Худшие сигналы
000660.KS Лонг -37.1%
MU Лонг -24.8%
EWY Лонг -8.1%
Самые упоминаемые
TLT ×3
USD/JPY ×3
005930.KS ×3
Последние сигналы
JGBS Шорт 1 неделю назад
GLD Лонг 1 неделю назад
TWD Лонг 1 неделю назад
Винрейт 57% Лонг 15 Шорт 6
Винрейт
57%
30д 73%
90д 50%
Средняя доходность +1.9% Доходность лонгов -2.5% Доходность шортов +12.9%
Средняя доходность
-1.0%
30д +1.7%
90д -2.2%
Загрузка графиков...
Результат
Результат
Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Шорт
26 июн
$87.35
+6.3%
Sticky inflation forces rate hike, bonds suffer
Core PCE at 4% is far too high for the Fed's comfort, making a rate hike likely. This will push up long-end Treasury yields and hurt bond prices, with the long end of the curve set to dislike it significantly.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
07 мая
$91.68
+4.0%
Japan equities are a catch-up trade.
Japan's equity market has underperformed Korea and Taiwan in the AI-driven rally, but with dollar-yen likely to settle between 150-160 and the Japanese authorities capping yen weakness, Japanese exporters are in a great position, making Japan a catch-up trade. The weak but stable yen and relatively cheap valuations support further gains.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
06 мая
$268250.00
-2.7%
Rotate to Asian tech stocks.
There is a rotation from US mega-cap tech stocks to Asian tech leaders like Samsung and TSMC, as strong AI earnings and the global search for diversification drive outperformance. Asian tech companies are now challenging the Mag7, and investors are moving capital to the Far East.
Память для ИИ
Лонг
24 авг
$76875.00
+0.5%
Gold and crypto hedge debt debasement.
Major governments are not reining in fiscal deficits, making long-term bonds unattractive and less reliable as equity hedges. Until fiscal discipline returns, investors will need alternative hedges such as gold and crypto, plus some equity exposure.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
24 авг
$426.69
-6.9%
Gold and crypto hedge debt debasement.
Major governments are not reining in fiscal deficits, making long-term bonds unattractive and less reliable as equity hedges. Until fiscal discipline returns, investors will need alternative hedges such as gold and crypto, plus some equity exposure.
Сырьё
Шорт
22 июл
$56.22
-2.0%
Yen weakness to persist indefinitely.
The yen is structurally weak due to persistent carry trade advantage for USD, Bank of Japan being well behind the curve, and markets no longer fearing intervention; dollar-yen could march higher toward 200 like the 1980s.
Валюты
Лонг
30 июн
$2692000.00
-37.1%
AI chip demand drives semiconductor profits
Chipmakers like Nvidia, Micron, Samsung and SK hynix have insatiable demand for AI chips from hyperscalers, with an estimated $1 trillion in spending over the next few years. Profitability remains extremely strong, and upcoming quarterly earnings should revive the market. There is no near-term disconnect between spending and profits, so the sector remains attractive.
Память для ИИ
Шорт
26 июн
$2641000.00
+35.9%
Peak AI capex cycle, retail leverage risk
The AI semiconductor capex cycle may be nearing a peak, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning their own massive spending, raising doubts about sustainable profits. Korean retail investors are highly leveraged and nervous, and the negative feedback loop from Apple's price hikes could further pressure chip demand, making Korean chipmakers and the KOSPI vulnerable to a selloff.
Память для ИИ
Шорт
26 июн
$331000.00
+21.1%
Peak AI capex cycle, retail leverage risk
The AI semiconductor capex cycle may be nearing a peak, with Samsung and SK Hynix planning their own massive spending, raising doubts about sustainable profits. Korean retail investors are highly leveraged and nervous, and the negative feedback loop from Apple's price hikes could further pressure chip demand, making Korean chipmakers and the KOSPI vulnerable to a selloff.
Память для ИИ
Лонг
25 июн
$1234.00
-24.8%
Tight memory supply amid AI boom
Micron's blowout earnings and guidance show memory chip supply remaining tighter for longer due to AI infrastructure demand, with only a handful of suppliers. Gross margins above 80% and strong pricing power imply sustained high profitability for memory chip stocks.
Память для ИИ
Лонг
11 мая
$190.20
-8.1%
AI trade drives Korea and Taiwan upside.
The AI trade is transforming South Korea and Taiwan, with U.S. retail investors gaining direct access to Korean stocks, driving momentum that is hard to derail. Foreign investors are still underweight these markets despite strong performance, leaving room for further inflows. The Korean won and Taiwan dollar remain cheap, and the overall backdrop of contained oil prices and low interest rates supports continued upside.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
06 мая
$394.41
+5.1%
Rotate to Asian tech stocks.
There is a rotation from US mega-cap tech stocks to Asian tech leaders like Samsung and TSMC, as strong AI earnings and the global search for diversification drive outperformance. Asian tech companies are now challenging the Mag7, and investors are moving capital to the Far East.
Производство/оборудование
Лонг
20 авг
$35.68
-0.9%
Stronger currencies and lagging performance favor underdogs.
Stronger Asian currencies will help the region's markets, and investors may rotate into lagging underdog markets like Japan, Hong Kong, and China as they look for better value beyond Korea and Taiwan.
Фондовые индексы
Шорт
19 авг
$717.51
+1.4%
NASDAQ will underperform the S&P 500.
The outlook for AI companies is getting cloudy as they may have to cut prices to compete, leading to thinner profit margins despite massive investments. This will cause NASDAQ contracts to underperform against the S&P 500.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
19 авг
$767.45
-0.7%
NASDAQ will underperform the S&P 500.
The outlook for AI companies is getting cloudy as they may have to cut prices to compete, leading to thinner profit margins despite massive investments. This will cause NASDAQ contracts to underperform against the S&P 500.
Фондовые индексы
Показано 15 из 21 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У Mark Cranfield на Buzzberg отслеживается 21 торговых идей по 17 тикерам с февраля 2026. винрейт 57% по 21 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +1.9%. #557 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: TLT, USD/JPY, 005930.KS.